Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-10-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85858 11863 1581 255 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 50 196 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 193 92 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 147 29 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 284 174 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 110 1370 5237 1478
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83580 13462 2063 246 89 0 0 0
OW 0 10 95 117 64 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 50 110 82 51 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 121 63 72 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 104 142 159 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 200 3768 2976 1444
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81638 15526 1989 311 21 0 0 0
OW 0 2 38 187 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 162 132 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 133 88 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 210 329 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 2921 4273 936
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81612 15939 1559 256 23 0 0 0
OW 0 8 70 177 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 196 124 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 126 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 199 286 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 1914 5844 447
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81612 15946 1577 301 41 0 0 0
OW 0 1 43 153 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 18 169 122 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 99 80 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 209 268 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 1917 5844 447

Date: 2016-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81802 14951 2123 318 37 0 0 0
OW 0 2 95 131 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 29 212 78 51 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 130 93 101 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 237 202 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 99 3034 4519 690
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81802 14953 2118 340 60 0 0 0
OW 0 0 82 113 73 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 44 159 67 50 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 145 73 92 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 73 217 178 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 140 3067 4542 690

Date: 2016-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84694 13357 886 286 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 27 257 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 192 135 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 241 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 227 368 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 62 2626 5173 410
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84694 13339 792 331 81 0 0 0
OW 0 18 62 103 79 11 0 0
VODI 0 1 48 118 75 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 119 58 94 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 103 179 127 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 241 2749 5116 410

Date: 2016-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81470 14469 2462 642 14 0 0 0
OW 0 0 15 172 85 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 125 178 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 165 57 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 190 389 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 46 1487 6037 965
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81470 14452 2404 639 114 1 0 0
OW 0 14 49 92 85 33 0 0
VODI 0 3 24 105 85 88 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 93 74 92 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 92 188 174 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 132 1551 6009 965

Date: 2016-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80767 16012 1705 520 12 0 0 0
OW 0 0 9 184 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 135 141 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 159 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 274 218 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 64 1616 5739 1330
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80767 16007 1634 402 26 0 0 0
OW 0 5 52 174 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 27 157 112 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 103 135 48 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 178 192 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 215 1641 5737 1330


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