Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-09-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8620 15103 3769 1247 115 0 0 0
OW 0 548 794 1236 176 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 376 1845 519 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 386 1154 89 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 656 1726 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 69 6180 1060 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8895 14045 2883 945 368 26 0 0
OW 0 984 1136 1221 152 69 0 0
VODI 0 72 422 1904 527 129 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 339 974 263 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 675 1401 90 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 43 6190 2064 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10603 11900 1538 492 272 12 0 0
OW 0 407 1158 768 90 44 0 0
VODI 0 247 1439 3031 269 64 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 396 1832 138 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 565 2098 67 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 4269 4089 61
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9742 12322 1637 457 254 0 0 0
OW 0 426 1240 642 131 14 0 0
VODI 0 218 1733 3060 276 67 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 667 1213 150 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 896 1149 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 77 4471 4755 236
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9742 12374 1881 594 290 3 0 0
OW 0 412 1210 1103 93 18 0 0
VODI 0 167 1375 2347 381 59 0 0
ODI 0 13 150 794 1118 168 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 900 1324 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 65 4279 4755 236

Date: 2016-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9846 12257 1333 273 172 119 0 0
OW 0 799 991 511 78 85 0 0
VODI 0 132 1557 3419 276 139 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 826 939 182 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 886 764 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 228 6039 3196 750
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9846 12578 1712 302 175 131 0 0
OW 0 512 902 918 69 48 0 0
VODI 0 98 1214 2618 298 114 0 0
ODI 0 0 53 1236 986 200 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 861 812 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 190 6023 3199 750

Date: 2016-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9275 13179 1995 294 0 18 18 0
OW 0 146 947 625 2 33 95 0
VODI 0 6 708 3888 361 48 51 0
ODI 0 0 0 135 1748 189 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 423 1841 269 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 5103 4075 294
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9275 12599 1626 340 1 108 155 0
OW 0 690 1015 783 34 72 35 0
VODI 0 42 961 2409 617 114 64 0
ODI 0 0 48 1359 1059 293 96 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 692 957 134 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 186 5688 4055 294

Date: 2016-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8736 13263 1951 430 0 0 0 0
OW 0 557 744 795 5 58 1 0
VODI 0 15 510 3405 1016 75 48 0
ODI 0 0 0 167 1381 213 101 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 507 1521 526 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 152 4083 5283 292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8736 12716 1696 377 11 128 62 0
OW 0 969 770 706 58 25 72 0
VODI 0 150 709 2358 906 126 146 0
ODI 0 0 30 1273 1264 297 135 0
CDI 0 0 0 108 567 830 298 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 255 4544 5246 292

Date: 2016-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8505 13474 1646 379 0 0 0 0
OW 0 533 800 1041 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 229 1980 2277 46 64 0
ODI 0 0 0 172 1179 562 104 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 516 1517 526 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 160 4385 5261 348
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8493 13128 1591 429 1 43 84 0
OW 12 756 729 777 84 32 112 0
VODI 0 121 341 1821 1665 278 191 0
ODI 0 2 13 443 1725 681 173 0
CDI 0 1 1 144 474 818 460 0
VCDI 0 0 0 38 264 4658 4935 348


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