Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-09-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3265 13022 2892 1137 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 20 1047 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1259 2071 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 468 4893 409 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 153 1348 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3588 13684 2118 1078 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 46 991 202 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1216 2019 93 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 688 3931 1022 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 164 1132 95 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4059 13788 1993 1045 3 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 678 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1044 821 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 264 5603 609 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 337 1644 131 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2243 13837 3598 1127 33 0 0 0
OW 0 0 24 691 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 845 862 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 337 5464 528 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 418 1841 133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2243 13837 3587 1273 48 0 0 0
OW 0 0 35 612 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 820 1027 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 295 5267 576 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 456 1799 133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2038 15030 2856 686 53 0 0 0
OW 0 1 82 641 137 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 758 814 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 3094 2219 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 545 2825 198 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 25 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2038 15031 2886 804 91 0 0 0
OW 0 0 49 580 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 724 802 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 3165 2667 87 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 503 2398 112 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0

Date: 2016-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3171 14031 2445 617 52 0 0 0
OW 0 159 136 553 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 861 387 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 2619 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 407 4806 594 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 144 833 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3171 14182 2501 721 157 0 0 0
OW 0 8 79 552 124 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 756 738 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 2085 2590 430 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 425 2390 997 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 65 0 0

Date: 2016-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3928 13662 1922 592 35 0 0 0
OW 0 308 186 598 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 868 486 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 2072 273 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 963 4927 230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 451 356 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3928 13912 1982 707 163 4 0 0
OW 0 58 129 532 127 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 817 741 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 104 1972 2478 66 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 656 3014 520 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 116 0 0

Date: 2016-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2290 15574 1639 528 35 0 0 0
OW 0 245 233 764 97 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 859 550 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 202 1880 141 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 1294 4570 185 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 723 210 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2290 15777 1742 970 145 29 0 0
OW 0 42 113 552 157 16 0 0
VODI 0 0 33 694 877 81 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 137 1773 2516 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 904 2683 355 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 152 0 0


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