Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-09-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90869 8024 944 216 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 74 302 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 393 57 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 329 1089 56 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1333 2140 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1580 1566 40
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91098 7784 844 201 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 65 282 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 365 67 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 410 1054 92 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 1019 2367 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1807 1534 49
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91561 7430 785 174 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 39 294 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 621 111 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 103 1846 150 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 432 1757 258 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 770 1972 780
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93320 5744 665 197 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 31 331 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 513 167 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 147 1610 236 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 530 1921 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1590 1407 605
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93320 5744 670 224 1 0 0 0
OW 0 3 27 297 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 501 222 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 169 1560 341 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 523 1822 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1583 1403 605

Date: 2016-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91225 7830 637 223 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 56 341 15 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 423 239 5 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 259 1438 160 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 1147 1248 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 1964 1680 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91225 7827 631 274 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 65 273 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 341 226 8 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 355 1430 216 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 1171 1190 144 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 1964 1686 0

Date: 2016-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91985 7149 607 193 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 55 261 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 388 95 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 745 104 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 563 3318 451 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1448 1680 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91985 7138 562 219 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 97 270 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 317 230 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 536 1085 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 554 1997 436 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 1782 1685 0

Date: 2016-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93265 5806 616 306 15 0 0 0
OW 0 0 42 286 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 323 136 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 57 531 134 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 153 1566 2445 311 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1355 1714 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93265 5797 562 321 37 0 0 0
OW 0 9 91 241 45 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 341 235 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 209 950 280 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 897 1985 300 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 120 1651 1727 0

Date: 2016-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86616 10292 2024 1043 7 0 0 0
OW 0 0 25 331 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 270 194 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 382 189 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 528 2371 1003 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1790 1915 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86616 10292 1965 1092 17 0 0 0
OW 0 0 78 251 67 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 247 266 86 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 88 456 492 173 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 326 2097 805 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1679 1962 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 30. mai 22:03:54 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy