Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-09-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1284 10216 4826 914 1 0 0 0
OW 0 191 699 1384 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 13 2013 711 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 564 5225 196 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1783 1919 90 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4877 10875 1256 515 1 0 0 0
OW 0 236 862 1260 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 1831 687 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 716 4830 243 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 1958 1767 113 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3472 13403 1993 902 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 14 978 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1866 1435 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 152 6056 181 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 148 1327 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3775 12001 3002 1349 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 22 1010 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1588 1788 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 675 4837 398 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 237 1239 99 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3775 12000 2972 1370 1 0 0 0
OW 0 3 52 937 107 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1558 1647 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 757 4807 300 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 352 1336 99 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3540 13333 2427 1163 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 41 1005 170 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1245 2020 64 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 630 4488 521 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 203 1153 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3540 13311 2360 1204 18 0 0 0
OW 0 23 102 923 248 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 1218 2100 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 698 4141 412 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 374 1285 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3981 13265 2427 1085 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 670 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1009 662 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 155 6380 298 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 205 1767 130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3981 13211 2207 1025 35 0 0 0
OW 0 55 206 756 285 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 865 2549 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 273 4055 724 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 368 1303 130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2491 14818 2511 1036 36 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 662 92 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 913 918 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 541 4567 1242 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 475 1543 208 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2491 14764 2306 833 74 2 0 0
OW 0 55 181 791 286 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 26 1209 1960 152 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 319 3362 1348 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 406 1302 208 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1522 15452 2816 930 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1 57 636 127 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 558 1059 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 3063 2794 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 535 2212 186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1522 15246 2643 759 64 0 0 0
OW 0 206 180 736 360 71 0 0
VODI 0 1 51 649 1731 710 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 2312 2580 96 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 341 1683 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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