Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-09-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96800 34993 8747 1776 1 0 0 0
OW 0 252 2002 3305 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 90 6224 1166 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1661 9473 304 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 56 4115 7165 586 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4159 4078 40
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101144 35409 5385 1422 1 0 0 0
OW 0 395 2506 2903 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 284 5733 1223 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 1989 8134 494 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 99 3452 6125 1923 12
VCDI 0 0 0 3 0 2195 5660 486
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98967 38115 9605 2474 2 0 0 0
OW 0 18 312 2892 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 27 5309 1965 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 653 10025 451 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 929 4870 531 0
VCDI 0 0 1 0 1 1717 5849 2299
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106338 32898 7392 2661 8 0 0 0
OW 0 64 866 2908 100 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 61 4613 2564 74 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1443 8085 782 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 1435 4351 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 57 4112 5342 684
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106338 32886 7519 3027 15 0 0 0
OW 0 76 677 2699 164 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 123 4316 2614 72 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1584 7837 800 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 1564 4364 153 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 55 4083 5338 684

Date: 2016-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103400 35426 7558 2683 9 0 0 0
OW 0 352 1101 2984 230 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 159 4084 2877 133 2 0
ODI 0 0 1 1452 7403 810 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 115 2332 3301 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 83 5138 5124 26
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103400 35620 7824 3327 33 0 0 0
OW 0 151 745 2566 344 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 248 3592 3036 116 1 0
ODI 0 0 2 1712 6883 764 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 122 2559 3348 247 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 79 5155 5126 26

Date: 2016-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105776 35038 7005 2596 9 0 0 0
OW 0 389 754 2278 69 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 121 3980 993 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 545 8848 480 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 1271 6778 587 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 36 6532 2916 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105776 35005 6237 2454 53 0 0 0
OW 0 350 1257 2247 364 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 345 3386 3278 56 0 0
ODI 0 1 41 1190 5557 1889 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 156 1811 4393 573 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 163 7454 2920 0

Date: 2016-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105010 35404 7441 2809 66 0 0 0
OW 0 467 659 2250 150 1 0 0
VODI 0 25 184 3452 1195 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1112 6411 1397 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 224 3270 5130 528 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 65 5748 4020 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105010 35231 6269 2196 136 2 0 0
OW 0 531 1414 2132 382 8 0 0
VODI 0 132 579 3826 2548 175 0 0
ODI 0 2 22 1421 5073 1642 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 265 2672 3936 522 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 346 6539 4028 0

Date: 2016-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96758 40847 8609 3220 146 0 0 0
OW 0 549 876 2203 324 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 377 2673 1772 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 469 4599 3072 79 0
CDI 0 0 0 78 1719 6309 1189 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 69 7970 2975 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96758 40517 7676 2695 141 0 0 0
OW 0 884 1400 2028 553 71 0 0
VODI 0 116 727 2750 2825 805 18 0
ODI 0 0 59 863 3438 3163 269 0
CDI 0 0 0 304 1585 4996 943 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 87 8360 3013 0


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