Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-08-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 850 8833 2493 326 13 0 0 0
OW 0 112 477 1025 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 26 1916 1372 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 4614 3161 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 321 5470 884 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 906 10310 1328 278 0 0 0 0
OW 0 86 555 1368 102 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 44 1615 1765 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 3883 3839 269 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 253 4479 907 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 327 10008 2703 582 1 0 0 0
OW 0 19 509 1157 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 1639 830 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 188 4728 764 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 663 6713 705 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 44 459 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1259 9517 2933 367 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 384 1239 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 28 1681 1091 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 224 4544 1040 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1010 5677 935 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 50 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1259 9519 2883 512 2 0 0 0
OW 0 36 427 1084 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 35 1596 1152 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 319 4307 1412 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1195 5273 877 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 106 0

Date: 2016-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 7003 4472 2885 9 0 0 0
OW 0 12 524 1224 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 28 1828 1152 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 227 4422 1280 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1892 4230 739 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 6995 4443 3024 12 0 0 0
OW 0 20 530 1070 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 51 1748 1273 76 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 322 4326 1296 124 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1870 4155 643 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 811 11640 2158 370 4 0 0 0
OW 0 52 527 1143 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 2428 799 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 7647 479 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 505 3325 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4 11 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 811 11536 1940 461 30 0 0 0
OW 0 156 638 999 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 109 1992 1146 59 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 558 5030 586 55 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 2667 3164 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3447 9751 1684 597 16 0 0 0
OW 0 161 439 1362 90 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 39 1983 1099 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 560 6639 420 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1220 2528 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3447 9569 1406 554 65 0 0 0
OW 0 280 508 1031 153 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 232 1921 1085 105 1 0
ODI 0 0 16 942 4780 534 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 2981 2318 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2089 10273 2671 678 39 0 0 0
OW 0 279 468 1346 189 5 0 0
VODI 0 8 116 1784 1122 26 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 801 5866 721 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 973 2410 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2089 10009 2394 752 98 0 0 0
OW 0 402 468 931 188 15 0 0
VODI 0 149 374 1634 1083 95 56 0
ODI 0 0 19 1204 4227 792 104 0
CDI 0 0 0 88 2593 2260 58 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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