Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-08-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91062 28265 10138 3014 100 0 0 0
OW 0 157 1237 2675 232 1 0 0
VODI 0 11 163 5408 2601 100 5 0
ODI 0 1 0 973 9805 4934 197 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1370 19228 5339 0
VCDI 0 1 3 1 0 7 20 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92667 32610 5765 2208 75 0 0 0
OW 0 223 1426 3131 325 6 0 0
VODI 0 44 180 4575 3539 255 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 1212 8210 5719 359 0
CDI 0 2 0 8 1224 18004 5070 0
VCDI 0 1 1 1 0 25 182 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83502 38271 9827 4118 30 0 0 0
OW 0 27 813 2749 115 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 35 5196 1815 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 633 10624 1398 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 0 1639 17812 4523 259
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 481 3107 51
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93581 34072 7049 1768 15 0 0 0
OW 0 57 706 2928 164 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 105 5208 2215 41 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 675 9738 1916 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 2150 12453 8665 919
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 47 2245 304
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93581 34084 7031 2190 17 0 0 0
OW 0 43 751 2488 141 1 0 0
VODI 0 5 79 4902 2265 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 998 9458 2199 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 2401 12153 8350 961
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 50 2573 262

Date: 2016-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97697 27108 7716 4500 29 1 0 0
OW 0 59 887 3040 259 5 0 0
VODI 0 21 90 4921 2850 73 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 803 8941 2322 148 0
CDI 0 1 1 10 2998 10331 7949 1786
VCDI 0 0 1 0 0 234 2042 225
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97697 27106 7775 4925 58 0 0 0
OW 0 60 826 2509 240 7 0 0
VODI 0 22 92 4765 2828 119 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1063 8926 2257 221 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 3025 10367 7722 1763
VCDI 0 1 2 2 0 216 2196 248

Date: 2016-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91838 35605 7937 2533 14 0 0 0
OW 0 56 1005 2742 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 6 6886 1326 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 517 14041 802 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1194 11214 757 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 672 7373 453
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91838 35363 7650 3042 77 0 0 0
OW 0 264 1021 2547 235 0 1 0
VODI 0 35 277 5303 2210 91 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 1779 9524 1405 106 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 4589 10947 5500 287
VCDI 0 0 0 3 0 246 2523 166

Date: 2016-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90472 39222 6911 2101 30 0 0 0
OW 0 306 1270 2793 132 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 255 6090 1795 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1636 11962 743 5 0
CDI 0 0 1 18 2468 8982 1076 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1648 5515 1508
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90472 38898 6583 2387 100 0 0 0
OW 0 536 1190 2261 287 1 0 0
VODI 0 183 640 5006 2096 139 1 0
ODI 0 0 23 2866 8511 1352 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 118 5393 9680 3908 785
VCDI 0 0 1 0 0 210 2639 734

Date: 2016-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89896 36143 10297 2778 44 0 0 0
OW 0 550 1474 2820 242 5 0 0
VODI 0 37 386 5695 1877 28 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 2173 10549 1175 96 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 2519 8063 1159 5
VCDI 0 0 0 4 1 2262 5138 1625
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89896 35757 10071 3146 117 0 0 0
OW 0 704 1214 2041 321 17 1 0
VODI 0 263 820 4944 2070 164 62 0
ODI 0 6 52 3159 7549 1583 303 0
CDI 0 0 0 181 5166 9027 3542 475
VCDI 0 0 0 3 9 742 2488 1155


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh on. 30. mai 21:24:33 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy