Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-08-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 192 7232 2526 923 32 0 0 0
OW 0 3 123 1364 230 11 0 0
VODI 0 1 12 1275 1755 309 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 101 5449 4829 699 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 813 3857 344 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 412 7575 2359 924 38 0 0 0
OW 0 31 287 1322 270 7 0 0
VODI 0 2 25 1420 2161 588 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 108 4539 6214 548 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 393 2654 205 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2656 6368 1648 1045 15 0 0 0
OW 0 76 268 1056 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 1744 1038 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 5875 1510 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 477 5998 1817 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 109 282 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1310 9215 1404 351 2 0 0 0
OW 0 41 458 1041 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 20 1928 1156 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 97 4923 2778 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 146 5840 1294 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1310 9173 1384 494 10 0 0 0
OW 0 84 439 820 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 57 1974 1287 97 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 129 4416 2684 160 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 513 5775 1100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 68 48 0

Date: 2016-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1012 9906 1415 389 0 0 0 0
OW 0 123 486 1245 85 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 27 1786 1522 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 73 4107 3556 181 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 352 4979 828 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1012 9896 1438 536 15 0 0 0
OW 0 133 442 936 75 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 47 1929 1801 139 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 92 3647 3317 236 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 528 5081 773 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 794 10812 1336 318 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 489 1184 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 1688 631 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 4994 620 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 351 7518 509 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 115 558 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 794 10646 1188 471 20 0 0 0
OW 0 190 443 1097 166 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 195 1595 1954 342 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 137 3617 3531 366 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 242 4380 690 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27 6948 5711 1218 0 0 0 0
OW 0 13 438 1199 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 1690 954 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 159 4805 677 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 876 6345 706 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 36 240 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27 6749 5219 1377 18 0 0 0
OW 0 201 539 1021 204 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 398 1650 2178 270 12 0
ODI 0 0 1 218 3785 3237 403 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 482 3551 531 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 538 8580 4421 746 5 0 0 0
OW 0 15 370 1309 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 11 1794 1151 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 225 4575 1082 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1205 5429 557 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 538 8404 3858 910 39 0 0 0
OW 0 175 544 1093 288 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 400 1788 2333 408 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 283 3768 3097 266 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 567 3015 291 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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