Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-08-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81705 35548 8333 3587 135 0 0 0
OW 0 45 284 3369 341 11 0 0
VODI 0 6 88 4347 3002 315 2 0
ODI 0 0 2 900 11890 6085 699 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 3235 21024 1016 0
VCDI 0 0 2 3 0 798 248 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78863 35916 10519 4492 122 0 0 0
OW 0 93 474 3655 449 7 0 0
VODI 0 4 194 4084 3771 625 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 990 10371 8034 549 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 2577 19579 1482 0
VCDI 0 1 1 3 57 90 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90957 25932 9769 4438 78 1 0 0
OW 0 90 565 2917 158 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 56 5399 1994 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 735 12528 2764 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 2065 21471 4451 0
VCDI 0 5 0 0 11 129 478 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91756 29234 8208 2858 75 0 0 0
OW 0 85 1065 2723 238 2 0 0
VODI 0 4 118 5329 2450 91 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 875 10423 4781 62 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1352 20527 4703 0
VCDI 0 1 3 1 6 36 41 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91756 29170 8213 3160 102 0 0 0
OW 0 150 1028 2452 217 4 0 0
VODI 0 3 148 5166 2589 181 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 1007 9872 4320 263 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1755 20791 4439 0
VCDI 0 1 3 1 9 141 104 0

Date: 2016-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88414 34385 8089 2063 73 0 0 0
OW 0 176 1346 2948 252 3 0 0
VODI 0 9 154 4991 3083 121 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1124 8948 5301 250 0
CDI 0 2 0 9 1445 20642 3154 0
VCDI 0 1 2 0 0 43 20 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88414 34286 8212 2388 86 0 0 0
OW 0 272 1199 2606 207 5 0 0
VODI 0 12 177 4915 3365 285 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 1217 8291 4758 368 0
CDI 0 2 0 9 1852 20943 2982 0
VCDI 0 1 2 0 0 119 74 0

Date: 2016-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89360 37213 6690 1598 47 0 0 0
OW 0 51 922 2734 74 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 37 5523 1315 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 559 11148 1143 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 0 816 20642 3182 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 0 684 3292 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89360 36821 5911 2050 93 0 0 0
OW 0 390 1333 2638 412 3 0 0
VODI 0 55 403 4349 3622 497 11 0
ODI 0 0 2 1360 7815 5149 550 0
CDI 0 3 1 17 1458 16406 5862 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 0 425 51 0

Date: 2016-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85012 35721 11817 3618 20 0 0 0
OW 0 24 760 2790 140 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 57 5203 2064 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 668 10190 1555 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 3 1950 14704 7485 177
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 201 2832 23
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85012 35305 10841 3764 136 0 0 0
OW 0 426 1209 2740 554 24 0 0
VODI 0 15 578 4446 3737 572 12 0
ODI 0 0 8 1321 7876 5461 700 0
CDI 0 0 1 9 2048 10349 9253 200
VCDI 0 1 0 2 13 83 352 0

Date: 2016-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96734 30057 7677 2339 20 0 0 0
OW 0 40 686 3156 177 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 78 5232 2397 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 812 9343 2056 65 0
CDI 0 2 0 9 2216 11398 8163 1782
VCDI 0 1 0 0 0 197 2036 310
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96734 29727 6661 2707 191 0 0 0
OW 0 317 1151 2968 685 6 0 0
VODI 0 63 599 4407 3852 792 0 0
ODI 0 0 32 1442 7792 5168 714 2
CDI 0 1 0 24 1633 7655 9142 2077
VCDI 0 2 0 0 0 83 408 13


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