Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-07-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97 6176 1754 491 16 0 0 0
OW 0 8 478 1264 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 80 1817 1726 296 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 235 4043 3361 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 938 9191 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1145 5976 1057 674 12 0 0 0
OW 0 74 732 1307 273 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 225 1434 1987 1014 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 323 3741 3375 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 2142 6577 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72 6494 3095 1092 10 0 0 0
OW 0 0 54 1122 156 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 1479 1125 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 113 6110 2560 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1266 7303 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 541 6474 2844 1011 25 0 0 0
OW 0 2 102 1283 245 3 0 0
VODI 0 1 9 1333 1422 107 13 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 5623 4437 448 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 853 4666 562 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 541 6474 2832 1240 78 0 0 0
OW 0 2 97 1120 190 22 0 0
VODI 0 1 26 1205 1410 235 48 0
ODI 0 0 0 140 5361 3861 577 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1129 5095 398 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1788 5951 1682 1585 33 0 0 0
OW 0 4 99 1505 244 2 0 0
VODI 0 2 19 1413 1887 423 68 0
ODI 0 0 0 182 5148 5284 716 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 519 3308 220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1788 5926 1655 1989 80 0 0 0
OW 0 29 96 1145 208 20 0 0
VODI 0 2 49 1279 1732 548 115 0
ODI 0 0 0 272 4915 4862 679 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 896 3587 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 750 6301 3400 967 12 0 0 0
OW 0 43 328 1010 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 2009 640 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 6321 758 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 488 7474 624 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 45 789 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 750 6239 3466 1426 71 0 0 0
OW 0 101 219 957 184 7 0 0
VODI 0 5 46 1479 2250 798 207 0
ODI 0 0 0 191 4246 4969 902 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 755 2503 304 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2160 8187 1046 606 6 0 0 0
OW 0 50 358 1022 88 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 1768 1108 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 5176 2442 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 389 5967 1534 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 29 47 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2160 8062 1029 895 76 3 0 0
OW 0 172 294 775 258 42 7 0
VODI 0 3 85 1598 2465 1353 547 0
ODI 0 0 0 176 3297 4761 960 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 671 2318 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 850 8833 2493 326 13 0 0 0
OW 0 112 477 1025 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 26 1916 1372 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 4614 3161 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 321 5470 884 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 850 8490 2480 548 99 0 0 0
OW 0 375 352 853 297 56 26 0
VODI 0 89 164 1855 2530 1930 370 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 2975 4715 439 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 492 1930 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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