Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-07-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68511 19537 8999 1902 64 0 0 0
OW 0 0 11 634 131 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 351 710 57 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 596 405 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 135 5857 678 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 480 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71154 23387 3807 932 46 0 0 0
OW 0 0 16 626 131 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 273 678 48 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 582 560 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 113 5904 814 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71722 19910 6488 1422 10 0 0 0
OW 0 6 6 481 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 397 529 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 784 355 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 111 6362 436 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73381 22531 2839 870 21 0 0 0
OW 0 0 27 480 108 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 375 618 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 662 655 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 136 6176 159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73381 22531 2828 865 27 0 0 0
OW 0 0 38 433 79 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 409 629 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 647 355 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 163 6450 161 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 30 0 0

Date: 2016-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67542 26808 3715 1564 68 0 0 0
OW 0 1 11 537 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 399 639 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 544 967 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 46 4792 1284 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67542 26809 3707 1513 75 0 0 0
OW 0 0 19 541 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 430 587 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 598 543 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 73 5243 1288 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73037 21691 4211 779 10 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 439 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 425 358 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 986 152 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 101 6070 734 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 43 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73037 21668 4162 726 31 0 0 0
OW 0 21 48 557 117 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 348 665 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 557 971 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 121 5225 777 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80660 16153 2118 875 12 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 469 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 538 446 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 753 456 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 347 4047 2138 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80660 16129 2054 799 21 0 0 0
OW 0 22 65 602 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 3 448 615 71 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 547 901 458 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 324 3532 1680 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79651 17097 2133 921 26 0 0 0
OW 0 13 5 503 88 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 438 633 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 681 593 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 70 6136 93 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79651 17085 2108 926 37 0 0 0
OW 0 28 30 605 170 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 326 759 164 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 504 2007 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 28 4564 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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