Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-07-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 221 4907 1494 432 10 2 0 0
OW 0 37 195 740 49 18 0 0
VODI 0 14 64 1516 1462 66 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 515 3145 1412 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1348 10165 1370 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 88 1687 1110 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 4744 2194 341 7 0 0 0
OW 0 29 180 904 108 11 0 0
VODI 0 1 74 1580 1869 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 303 3678 1263 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1828 11231 423 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 80 1129 68 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 4364 3096 546 16 0 0 0
OW 0 8 235 847 52 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 21 2100 1188 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 3929 2224 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 0 1301 11658 343 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102 5971 1592 663 16 0 0 0
OW 0 6 372 1220 68 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 30 1921 1416 187 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 182 3675 3622 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 957 10010 65 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102 5975 1646 877 47 1 0 0
OW 0 2 319 1221 160 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 29 1720 1412 373 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 167 3437 3131 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 1 1076 10315 65 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1110 5475 1481 600 10 0 0 0
OW 0 43 486 1339 208 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 69 1739 1813 711 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 248 4079 3320 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1180 8101 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1110 5500 1595 951 96 0 0 0
OW 0 18 367 1104 281 18 0 0
VODI 0 3 74 1685 1638 996 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 185 3926 2708 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1349 8410 63 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 662 6326 2447 865 8 0 0 0
OW 0 4 120 1115 75 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1814 780 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 98 6790 837 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1426 8704 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 662 6196 1739 986 148 0 0 0
OW 0 122 571 968 356 74 0 0
VODI 0 12 257 1566 2292 992 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 373 3782 2873 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 2501 5608 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 169 6573 2912 1207 12 0 0 0
OW 0 1 75 1198 194 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 1493 1180 57 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 97 5652 3903 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 997 6267 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 169 6329 2291 1065 238 52 0 0
OW 0 221 462 1033 436 234 0 0
VODI 0 24 240 1491 2235 1734 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 404 3348 3395 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1778 4812 86 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2016-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 192 7232 2526 923 32 0 0 0
OW 0 3 123 1364 230 11 0 0
VODI 0 1 12 1275 1755 309 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 101 5449 4829 699 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 813 3857 344 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 192 6708 2202 1096 331 182 5 0
OW 0 467 181 1014 509 432 62 0
VODI 0 61 253 1216 2527 1478 485 0
ODI 0 0 25 336 3325 3007 492 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1587 3907 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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