Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-07-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69210 23933 4181 870 44 10 0 0
OW 1 16 45 577 105 29 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 409 840 81 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 649 507 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 73 1826 1682 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1668 2241 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68487 22995 6242 646 46 17 0 0
OW 0 13 48 628 189 17 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 391 813 124 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 526 609 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 106 1832 1722 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1909 1651 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72325 20241 4902 1131 49 3 0 0
OW 0 0 37 540 87 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 433 617 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 890 233 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 117 3757 1163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1645 891 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67439 23646 6228 1533 41 0 0 0
OW 0 1 40 649 71 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 426 669 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 684 298 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 183 5134 949 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 833 181 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67439 23647 6219 1599 46 0 0 0
OW 0 0 49 531 76 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 458 596 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 715 226 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 215 4909 769 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1136 361 0

Date: 2016-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72775 19983 4904 1470 41 1 0 0
OW 0 0 17 629 140 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 304 696 52 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 559 515 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 124 6564 276 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72775 19983 4905 1512 54 0 0 0
OW 0 0 16 548 120 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 322 668 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 558 338 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 160 6663 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 94 0 0

Date: 2016-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71277 21010 6146 1022 14 0 0 0
OW 0 3 3 421 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 390 416 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 926 201 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 81 6299 700 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 98 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71277 21010 6120 1060 32 0 0 0
OW 0 3 26 477 149 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 280 660 62 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 541 462 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 113 5949 775 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 35 23 0

Date: 2016-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73752 20276 3912 1645 17 0 0 0
OW 0 0 34 476 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 438 533 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 753 542 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 70 6270 270 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73752 20265 3833 1782 26 0 0 0
OW 0 11 85 439 170 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 28 315 640 72 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 534 635 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 75 6062 253 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 64 17 0

Date: 2016-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70792 23615 4143 1074 17 0 0 0
OW 0 2 20 532 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 392 627 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 580 793 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 49 5217 1100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70792 23605 4096 1279 30 0 0 0
OW 0 12 59 411 260 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 303 606 142 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 413 1027 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 56 4871 1054 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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