Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-07-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 5027 1331 389 2 11 0 0
OW 0 3 78 561 85 17 0 0
VODI 0 2 19 759 1055 112 13 0
ODI 0 2 2 217 3436 727 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1703 8386 756 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 113 4392 2825 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 3645 2207 981 7 8 0 0
OW 0 0 64 588 179 28 0 0
VODI 0 3 14 798 1311 138 23 0
ODI 0 1 1 212 3311 1150 69 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1349 9041 641 0
VCDI 0 0 1 0 61 3228 3022 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107 4788 1675 311 2 5 0 0
OW 0 10 98 568 31 14 1 0
VODI 0 2 7 1194 911 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 204 4111 806 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1104 10439 1053 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 7 1511 3072 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4607 2046 312 3 4 0 0
OW 0 26 146 629 68 15 0 0
VODI 0 6 18 1308 1447 67 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 269 3540 1306 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1048 10237 1591 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 1309 2050 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4611 2100 461 23 4 0 0
OW 0 22 76 549 89 13 0 0
VODI 0 6 34 1107 1359 148 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 400 3554 1279 130 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1068 10014 1408 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 1480 2108 0

Date: 2016-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3889 2703 553 3 1 0 0
OW 0 49 214 825 78 13 0 0
VODI 0 9 73 1573 1676 65 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 393 3286 1414 7 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 1691 10959 612 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 1427 530 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3892 2769 802 22 1 0 0
OW 0 42 122 705 107 15 0 0
VODI 0 13 96 1338 1538 161 1 0
ODI 0 0 3 499 3347 1546 5 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 1708 10382 601 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 1774 543 0

Date: 2016-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38 4552 2768 410 14 0 0 0
OW 0 24 184 758 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 2260 883 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 4873 885 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 0 1443 12719 192 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 8 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 38 4536 2608 532 23 0 0 0
OW 0 35 211 819 152 5 0 0
VODI 0 5 130 1653 1529 153 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 448 3333 1978 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 1 2146 10716 192 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 66 768 0 0

Date: 2016-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1787 4912 1466 31 0 0 0
OW 0 2 250 961 170 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 19 1956 1313 89 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 106 3756 3147 37 0
CDI 0 0 1 0 1052 10657 360 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1674 4735 1536 79 0 0 0
OW 0 93 185 869 314 62 0 0
VODI 0 22 252 1537 1810 430 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 522 2851 2660 40 0
CDI 0 0 1 25 1267 10705 357 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 46 0 0

Date: 2016-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97 6176 1754 491 16 0 0 0
OW 0 8 478 1264 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 80 1817 1726 296 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 235 4043 3361 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 938 9191 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97 6007 1524 688 126 16 0 0
OW 0 139 319 884 394 34 0 0
VODI 0 39 450 1521 2247 454 0 0
ODI 0 0 19 629 2803 2807 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 86 1262 9537 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 30. mai 20:18:43 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy