Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-07-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6168 2639 3221 339 38 0 0
OW 0 16 139 1530 635 23 0 0
VODI 0 12 39 1351 863 51 0 0
ODI 0 13 13 562 1940 318 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 456 5061 6039 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 998 9190 4113 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6141 3547 3651 391 70 0 0
OW 0 12 168 1070 332 21 0 0
VODI 0 17 43 1345 873 52 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 568 1949 442 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 617 6683 4054 127 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 3340 8036 2301 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6682 3893 3421 318 46 0 0
OW 0 33 51 1202 81 12 0 0
VODI 0 6 13 2022 600 15 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 799 3248 521 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 490 4471 7073 13 0
VCDI 0 0 1 3 1832 8408 608 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7872 4333 2463 240 5 0 0
OW 0 33 45 1682 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 1758 789 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 964 2981 418 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 626 4755 8077 673 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 140 7865 51 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7869 4336 2599 248 5 0 0
OW 0 36 42 1529 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 2 1787 815 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 930 3017 495 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 648 4678 7760 649 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 146 8111 75 0

Date: 2016-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 256 8628 3720 2618 243 6 0 0
OW 0 57 179 1473 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 45 1711 790 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 814 3063 372 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 867 4416 8619 1399 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 55 4610 1788 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 256 8648 3750 2776 251 6 0 0
OW 0 37 145 1294 94 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 48 1673 789 36 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 849 3132 371 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 891 4326 8321 1397 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 79 4890 1790 0

Date: 2016-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 681 8751 4195 2253 241 0 0 0
OW 0 12 66 1092 91 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 20 2399 591 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1028 6245 423 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 2286 12118 473 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 23 1343 1504 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 681 8722 4090 2477 260 0 0 0
OW 0 27 110 1168 154 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 55 1275 1156 10 0 0
ODI 0 2 26 832 3298 326 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1032 4492 10055 1866 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 117 3502 111 0

Date: 2016-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 196 6189 6581 3191 230 0 0 0
OW 0 9 64 1303 162 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 18 2122 1055 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 875 5032 1516 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 2462 12565 461 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 50 1132 636 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 196 6129 6479 3319 341 0 0 0
OW 0 34 107 1230 336 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 38 1034 1040 97 0 0
ODI 0 7 39 764 2916 716 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1155 4220 11341 1062 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 138 3059 35 0

Date: 2016-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 342 9471 3362 3280 216 6 0 0
OW 0 17 226 1356 136 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 99 2079 1116 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 824 4370 1909 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 2947 11338 1728 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 3 685 328 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 342 9412 3202 3495 275 6 0 0
OW 0 46 226 1140 342 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 111 974 975 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 148 849 2641 1031 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1101 4481 10359 1882 0
VCDI 0 0 1 5 74 2525 174 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 30. mai 20:18:34 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy