Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-07-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69234 35128 8151 4480 385 59 0 0
OW 1 35 262 2668 825 69 0 0
VODI 0 14 61 2519 2758 244 14 0
ODI 0 15 15 828 6025 1552 82 0
CDI 0 1 0 458 6837 16251 2532 0
VCDI 0 1 0 4 1111 15250 9179 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68488 32781 11996 5278 444 95 0 0
OW 0 25 280 2286 700 66 0 0
VODI 0 20 57 2534 2997 314 28 0
ODI 0 9 4 831 5786 2201 102 0
CDI 0 0 1 617 8138 14927 2490 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 3401 13173 6974 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72432 31711 10470 4863 369 54 0 0
OW 0 43 186 2310 199 33 1 0
VODI 0 8 20 3649 2128 82 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 1011 8249 1560 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 490 5692 21269 2229 0
VCDI 0 1 1 3 1839 11564 4571 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67439 36125 12607 4308 284 9 0 0
OW 0 60 231 2960 210 28 0 0
VODI 0 8 20 3492 2905 130 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1269 7205 2022 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 627 5986 23448 3213 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 146 10007 2282 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67439 36127 12655 4659 317 9 0 0
OW 0 58 167 2609 237 21 0 0
VODI 0 8 36 3352 2770 204 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 1386 7286 2000 130 0
CDI 0 0 0 650 5961 22683 2826 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 165 10727 2544 0

Date: 2016-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73031 32500 11327 4641 287 8 0 0
OW 0 106 410 2927 322 20 0 0
VODI 0 20 118 3588 3162 134 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 1226 6908 2301 17 0
CDI 0 1 0 867 6231 26142 2287 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 92 6051 2318 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73031 32523 11424 5090 327 7 0 0
OW 0 79 283 2547 321 20 0 0
VODI 0 23 144 3333 2995 250 1 0
ODI 0 1 4 1388 7037 2255 13 0
CDI 0 1 0 891 6194 25366 2276 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 128 6758 2333 0

Date: 2016-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71996 34313 13109 3685 269 0 0 0
OW 0 39 253 2271 162 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 21 5049 1890 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1080 12044 1509 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 12 3810 31136 1365 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 46 1356 1602 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71996 34268 12818 4069 315 0 0 0
OW 0 65 347 2464 455 5 0 0
VODI 0 22 188 3208 3345 225 0 0
ODI 0 2 30 1323 7172 2766 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 1033 6751 26720 2833 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 183 4305 134 0

Date: 2016-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73948 28252 15405 6302 278 0 0 0
OW 0 11 348 2740 404 10 0 0
VODI 0 1 37 4516 2901 110 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1000 9541 5205 37 0
CDI 0 0 1 12 3584 29492 1091 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 50 1132 636 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73948 28068 15047 6637 446 0 0 0
OW 0 138 377 2538 820 62 0 0
VODI 0 51 318 2886 3490 599 0 0
ODI 0 7 48 1328 6301 4011 40 0
CDI 0 0 1 1180 5562 28108 1672 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 139 3169 52 0

Date: 2016-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71231 39262 9259 4845 249 6 0 0
OW 0 27 724 3152 337 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 179 4288 3469 328 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1084 8993 6063 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 3934 25746 2828 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 3 685 328 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71231 39024 8822 5462 431 22 0 0
OW 0 197 604 2435 996 34 0 0
VODI 0 69 569 2798 3828 615 0 0
ODI 0 0 167 1508 5857 4865 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 1187 5799 24767 2936 0
VCDI 0 0 1 5 74 2525 174 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh on. 30. mai 20:19:26 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy