Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-07-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70625 20837 4399 1637 61 4 0 0
OW 6 0 32 606 188 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 381 750 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 1067 212 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 522 2628 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1487 2610 789
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65532 20808 9825 1503 70 17 0 0
OW 6 3 48 588 261 25 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 346 781 85 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 844 307 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 437 2664 337 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2042 2198 273
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72862 20724 3516 760 37 8 0 0
OW 4 1 48 570 69 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 455 607 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 1044 286 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 151 2464 713 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1644 2811 207
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70618 21606 4507 1362 41 11 0 0
OW 2 16 32 617 74 22 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 389 807 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 797 445 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 116 2182 1174 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2238 1946 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70618 21606 4504 1450 52 12 0 0
OW 2 16 32 522 80 23 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 375 797 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 59 717 382 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 189 2272 1133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2210 1986 0

Date: 2016-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67960 23470 5615 1222 49 15 0 0
OW 1 14 43 602 117 24 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 432 817 103 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 613 521 70 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 113 1746 1858 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1664 1980 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67960 23469 5605 1280 61 15 0 0
OW 1 15 47 529 156 28 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 399 702 119 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 89 570 425 70 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 220 1795 1866 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1691 1976 0

Date: 2016-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74986 18807 3964 686 34 8 0 0
OW 0 1 33 545 42 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 579 392 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 1063 167 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 105 3242 1270 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1432 1669 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74986 18795 3911 797 66 10 0 0
OW 0 13 81 504 237 18 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 442 603 136 13 0
ODI 0 0 0 107 512 430 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 218 2515 1400 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1766 1455 0

Date: 2016-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73295 20763 3981 683 52 0 0 0
OW 0 0 31 579 102 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 362 728 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 781 246 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 138 4449 916 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1371 559 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73295 20746 3876 744 107 3 0 0
OW 0 17 95 471 338 23 0 0
VODI 0 0 41 335 615 150 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 601 471 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 140 3833 901 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1644 574 0

Date: 2016-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68511 19537 8999 1902 64 0 0 0
OW 0 0 11 634 131 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 351 710 57 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 596 405 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 135 5857 678 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 480 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68511 19527 8849 1946 205 16 0 0
OW 0 10 111 455 365 57 0 0
VODI 0 0 50 342 475 144 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 161 491 650 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 100 5632 673 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 309 0 0


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