Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-07-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70666 27356 9829 4796 496 37 0 0
OW 6 41 199 2239 704 55 0 0
VODI 0 3 60 2272 2433 197 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 740 5866 1015 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 624 5373 16023 933 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 1322 13017 16504 4227
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65532 29681 13787 4645 437 56 0 0
OW 6 14 294 2378 662 98 0 0
VODI 0 1 53 2528 2707 266 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 731 5220 1180 5 0
CDI 0 0 14 705 4804 16574 2063 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 2254 13460 14451 2416
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72862 28559 9706 4030 325 33 0 0
OW 4 11 248 2204 242 56 0 0
VODI 0 2 41 3113 2454 122 5 0
ODI 0 0 25 634 7229 1189 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 322 5524 17753 1740 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 790 13836 13508 457
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70619 31799 9502 4345 274 62 0 0
OW 2 34 274 2992 539 58 0 0
VODI 0 5 60 2708 2529 177 2 0
ODI 0 6 29 847 6280 1472 13 0
CDI 0 2 0 348 6822 16845 1994 0
VCDI 0 1 0 4 756 16242 9354 52
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70619 31800 9558 4730 346 57 0 0
OW 2 32 206 2613 515 59 0 0
VODI 0 6 72 2712 2656 185 0 0
ODI 0 7 29 827 5922 1628 43 0
CDI 0 1 0 358 6993 16952 1989 0
VCDI 0 1 0 4 768 15975 9331 52

Date: 2016-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67971 34011 10912 5114 378 89 0 0
OW 1 28 251 2387 681 79 0 0
VODI 0 11 62 2624 2771 247 24 0
ODI 0 8 11 886 5961 1708 110 0
CDI 0 0 0 466 8245 14979 2490 0
VCDI 0 1 0 4 1209 15450 7879 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67971 34012 10950 5254 402 90 0 0
OW 1 28 210 2231 733 81 0 0
VODI 0 10 65 2530 2877 318 14 0
ODI 0 8 11 973 5730 1764 144 0
CDI 0 0 0 489 8342 14773 2523 0
VCDI 0 1 0 4 1161 15526 7822 0

Date: 2016-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75031 29873 9635 4467 314 70 0 0
OW 0 22 158 2065 189 32 0 0
VODI 0 7 14 3683 1648 65 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 820 9050 1112 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 240 6985 20264 1881 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 2464 10492 6455 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75031 29850 9420 4843 480 81 0 0
OW 0 31 308 2185 726 67 0 0
VODI 0 15 75 2597 2957 448 74 0
ODI 0 8 5 939 5336 2303 200 0
CDI 0 0 0 711 7283 16327 1943 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 3868 12809 6122 1

Date: 2016-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74406 30892 10216 4357 332 49 0 0
OW 0 54 291 2556 235 34 1 0
VODI 0 13 23 3467 2732 127 6 0
ODI 0 2 1 1156 7590 1789 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 436 6556 21781 2715 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 1335 10430 3429 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74406 30800 9862 4713 577 71 2 0
OW 0 115 489 2247 818 109 12 0
VODI 0 32 159 2738 3158 596 86 0
ODI 0 14 21 1199 5034 2323 205 0
CDI 0 0 0 1076 7439 17969 2796 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 1754 13142 3080 2

Date: 2016-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68735 30504 16401 5345 317 18 0 0
OW 0 78 310 2953 276 27 0 0
VODI 0 24 76 3485 3035 131 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 1216 6906 2255 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 327 5490 25141 3222 0
VCDI 0 1 0 4 161 9310 1274 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68735 30427 15990 5673 664 53 0 0
OW 0 98 517 2378 825 159 6 0
VODI 0 62 237 2903 2960 688 49 0
ODI 0 22 44 1427 4463 2664 244 0
CDI 0 1 0 937 7061 23385 3114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 212 9933 1105 0


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