Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68050 20573 6171 2045 135 10 0 0
OW 9 4 6 562 186 14 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 191 616 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 748 279 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 535 1594 378 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 737 3199 2978
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65521 21275 8274 1977 143 12 0 0
OW 9 0 6 512 258 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 183 642 66 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 730 350 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 595 1899 351 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 619 2958 2669
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61900 25169 7954 2130 82 11 0 0
OW 7 0 1 522 133 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 377 519 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 1317 207 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 338 2128 504 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 848 3207 1685
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64317 25178 5756 2085 72 2 0 0
OW 6 0 27 603 160 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 407 660 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 1043 242 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 388 2467 370 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 932 3411 883
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64317 25178 5756 2144 81 5 0 0
OW 6 0 27 548 131 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 406 761 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 968 241 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 382 2379 444 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1026 3337 883

Date: 2016-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67614 21177 7324 1447 74 12 0 0
OW 6 0 32 609 242 17 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 341 762 61 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 57 979 256 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 487 2632 263 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1222 3113 371
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67614 21177 7333 1506 99 13 0 0
OW 6 0 23 547 184 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 348 891 62 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 868 258 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 502 2451 356 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1405 3020 371

Date: 2016-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72020 19396 4765 1519 37 7 0 0
OW 5 1 32 570 75 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 515 469 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 1293 212 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 219 2805 471 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1727 2690 180
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72020 19397 4738 1693 73 14 0 0
OW 5 0 56 543 221 28 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 326 884 121 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 93 634 363 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 281 2520 819 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1745 2334 180

Date: 2016-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70415 22583 4199 780 38 9 0 0
OW 4 7 46 617 58 18 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 441 703 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 927 341 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 141 2967 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2255 2261 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70415 22578 4143 962 67 23 0 0
OW 4 12 80 540 266 40 0 0
VODI 0 0 23 274 778 209 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 109 545 364 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 211 3125 534 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1878 1881 0

Date: 2016-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69210 23933 4181 870 44 10 0 0
OW 1 16 45 577 105 29 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 409 840 81 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 649 507 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 73 1826 1682 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1668 2241 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69209 23927 4143 1086 107 31 0 0
OW 2 22 66 460 372 56 1 0
VODI 0 0 20 225 662 233 38 0
ODI 0 0 0 132 456 525 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 111 1351 2016 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1925 1870 0


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