Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1576 1051 1886 37 10 0 0
OW 0 7 99 712 190 20 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 555 695 169 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 113 993 570 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 161 2095 5756 886 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 252 5028 5565 3615
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2460 1545 682 6 8 0 0
OW 0 22 186 775 133 22 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 596 635 151 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 112 1042 681 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 177 2233 7082 1045 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 95 3441 6088 2826
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73 2662 1772 735 6 1 0 0
OW 0 0 5 758 45 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 595 548 50 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 144 2233 574 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 1566 7956 953 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1935 8688 726
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 42 3414 1516 638 10 0 0 0
OW 0 1 32 683 46 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 708 536 80 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 164 2245 479 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 2007 7757 1186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 14 1260 6901 2309
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 42 3414 1508 717 18 0 0 0
OW 0 1 40 588 66 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 708 574 85 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 172 2150 631 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 2040 7581 1251 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 10 1278 6834 2309

Date: 2016-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 3826 1474 550 14 1 0 0
OW 0 4 68 666 69 3 0 0
VODI 0 1 19 644 608 99 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 294 2339 573 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 1720 8270 628 2
VCDI 0 0 0 1 66 1579 6491 2013
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 3823 1490 643 29 1 0 0
OW 0 8 59 573 96 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 629 669 94 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 299 2172 717 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 1766 8095 675 2
VCDI 0 0 0 1 84 1611 6440 2013

Date: 2016-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2430 2976 833 12 0 0 0
OW 0 3 19 513 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 816 478 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 3573 667 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 710 9361 804 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 1 1971 5730 1042
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2427 2963 856 24 0 0 0
OW 0 5 26 599 115 10 0 0
VODI 0 1 9 459 936 140 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 321 2041 861 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 1631 8637 1239 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 46 2366 5295 1042

Date: 2016-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 149 3254 2830 416 13 0 0 0
OW 0 2 94 469 49 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 797 726 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 143 3729 590 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1783 7773 1213 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 44 3772 4174 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 149 3238 2828 444 20 4 0 0
OW 0 18 99 448 124 20 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 606 1171 128 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 278 2142 691 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 49 2643 8113 1498 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 244 3230 3889 0

Date: 2016-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 5027 1331 389 2 11 0 0
OW 0 3 78 561 85 17 0 0
VODI 0 2 19 759 1055 112 13 0
ODI 0 2 2 217 3436 727 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1703 8386 756 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 113 4392 2825 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 5019 1264 433 41 17 0 0
OW 0 11 108 405 197 38 6 0
VODI 0 2 56 694 1153 196 34 0
ODI 0 0 0 332 2015 771 46 0
CDI 0 2 2 64 2791 9890 2189 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 197 2733 1351 0


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