Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3184 2137 1738 189 149 1 0
OW 0 116 269 799 499 51 1 0
VODI 0 31 111 950 775 315 2 0
ODI 0 0 19 628 1699 1112 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 480 2955 2975 125 0
VCDI 0 0 0 38 864 9664 10795 3190
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3091 2340 1985 558 145 0 0
OW 0 79 215 762 523 206 8 0
VODI 0 15 99 887 672 714 8 0
ODI 0 4 23 514 1545 969 8 0
CDI 0 0 2 456 3379 2691 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 66 2135 9954 9236 2529
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3589 2699 2406 442 43 0 0
OW 0 8 42 880 335 39 5 0
VODI 0 2 6 1006 791 84 14 0
ODI 0 0 4 360 3214 208 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 426 3960 5001 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1167 8199 9056 1703
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3281 3355 2403 576 23 0 0
OW 0 22 81 933 405 44 0 0
VODI 0 4 12 1130 871 92 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 368 3078 301 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 487 3362 5185 368 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 1069 8755 8459 1198
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3285 3378 2537 630 11 0 0
OW 0 17 54 840 359 46 0 0
VODI 0 5 16 1054 1011 95 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 390 2812 245 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 500 3379 5138 457 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 1170 8865 8370 1198

Date: 2016-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4375 2746 2646 357 19 0 0
OW 0 53 140 1069 352 50 1 0
VODI 0 1 57 1224 1405 93 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 377 2247 258 4 0
CDI 0 0 1 687 2751 5494 181 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 1584 10079 7453 143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4403 2792 2737 445 19 0 0
OW 0 26 101 987 256 38 1 0
VODI 0 0 50 1180 1413 88 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 404 2092 262 5 0
CDI 0 0 2 669 2767 5452 191 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 1723 10134 7442 143

Date: 2016-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4410 3577 2410 264 12 0 0
OW 0 10 88 1118 166 16 0 0
VODI 0 1 28 2066 1033 32 0 0
ODI 0 2 21 432 2769 344 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 312 3617 6590 709 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 445 7920 7163 309
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4411 3438 2528 406 25 0 0
OW 0 9 141 1066 239 28 0 0
VODI 0 0 76 1713 1051 54 1 0
ODI 0 3 39 340 1748 372 1 0
CDI 0 0 20 691 2941 5508 784 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1909 8927 7088 309

Date: 2016-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5381 3027 2715 226 44 0 0
OW 0 11 116 1427 321 50 0 0
VODI 0 7 47 1635 1134 43 0 0
ODI 0 1 34 672 2113 240 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 338 4632 6468 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 737 9817 4516 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5329 2821 2614 364 68 0 0
OW 0 54 160 1144 256 45 0 0
VODI 0 10 145 1753 939 59 0 0
ODI 0 8 59 585 1660 271 0 0
CDI 0 1 39 673 3642 5649 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 2302 10570 4530 0

Date: 2016-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6168 2639 3221 339 38 0 0
OW 0 16 139 1530 635 23 0 0
VODI 0 12 39 1351 863 51 0 0
ODI 0 13 13 562 1940 318 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 456 5061 6039 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 998 9190 4113 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 6142 2326 2835 528 49 0 0
OW 0 36 299 1495 253 18 0 0
VODI 0 8 123 1574 908 83 0 0
ODI 0 13 55 497 1561 350 0 0
CDI 0 11 27 626 4529 5081 77 0
VCDI 0 0 0 97 2057 10078 4130 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 30. mai 19:42:51 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy