Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61094 26953 5485 2002 96 20 0 0
OW 24 5 54 707 119 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 427 381 39 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 597 190 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 683 1505 949 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 878 5266 1491
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62678 22201 7697 3203 147 19 0 0
OW 13 2 38 678 127 10 3 0
VODI 0 0 0 383 423 34 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 662 265 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 541 2389 859 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 498 3094 2910
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65248 21695 6210 2981 130 5 0 0
OW 20 6 12 578 134 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 360 515 15 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 865 319 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 525 1870 241 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 115 1052 3810 2339
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64479 23183 6738 2245 125 6 0 0
OW 8 28 12 582 160 14 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 229 557 51 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 776 298 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 547 1625 162 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 928 3979 2335
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64479 23176 6738 2258 142 9 0 0
OW 8 33 12 530 155 11 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 263 568 48 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 791 371 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 509 1480 178 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1003 3963 2335

Date: 2016-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64332 23810 6719 2082 146 9 0 0
OW 9 0 12 510 226 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 165 664 43 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 721 290 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 630 1498 509 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 671 2983 2994
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64332 23810 6714 2119 170 12 0 0
OW 9 0 17 451 184 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 179 750 42 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 715 337 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 568 1456 559 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 666 2936 2994

Date: 2016-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63361 23321 7213 3165 95 5 0 0
OW 9 0 3 476 114 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 293 506 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 1472 196 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 307 2537 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 799 3415 1616
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63362 23321 7205 3290 187 11 0 0
OW 8 0 11 443 237 16 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 188 839 72 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 641 342 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 590 2196 347 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 928 3209 1616

Date: 2016-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62870 26669 6197 1481 56 11 0 0
OW 7 0 31 561 129 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 423 589 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 1121 251 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 331 2138 636 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 944 3232 1348
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62870 26669 6195 1676 134 24 0 0
OW 7 0 33 461 230 19 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 278 737 125 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 573 303 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 552 1723 1380 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1199 2482 1348

Date: 2016-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70625 20837 4399 1637 61 4 0 0
OW 6 0 32 606 188 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 381 750 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 1067 212 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 522 2628 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1487 2610 789
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70625 20837 4395 1785 154 14 0 0
OW 6 0 36 497 242 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 281 743 78 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 652 267 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 797 2884 682 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1120 2105 789


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