Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 2049 679 733 44 3 3 0
OW 0 25 56 656 149 7 2 0
VODI 0 0 15 322 1091 184 29 0
ODI 0 0 0 90 675 787 98 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 799 4134 1508 0
VCDI 0 0 0 85 420 4992 11341 1065
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 995 1899 945 19 3 0 0
OW 0 1 44 711 226 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 302 1058 172 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 602 650 61 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 652 3980 2642 320
VCDI 0 0 0 75 346 2553 8742 4936
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 2518 1061 604 21 0 0 0
OW 0 0 74 692 77 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 635 724 48 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 1526 393 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 119 1910 4277 219 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 449 4683 9874 2047
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2582 1038 844 12 10 0 0
OW 0 10 84 732 127 23 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 569 674 171 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 1083 487 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 168 1816 4924 1103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 676 4267 7940 2583
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2585 1035 1026 27 14 0 0
OW 0 7 83 498 116 21 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 597 599 167 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 129 1112 558 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 141 1730 4658 1268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 804 4464 7780 2583

Date: 2016-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2232 1296 1088 25 7 0 0
OW 0 21 66 820 147 26 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 545 654 172 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 1017 627 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 159 2409 6086 939 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 240 4640 5148 3574
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2233 1340 1237 20 14 0 0
OW 0 18 21 560 114 24 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 654 650 153 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 124 1015 713 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 142 2444 6319 1051 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 249 4335 5036 3574

Date: 2016-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2900 1672 453 7 1 0 0
OW 0 2 54 711 34 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 736 466 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 127 2303 415 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 1829 7753 717 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 2440 7441 1899
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2875 1530 518 17 18 0 0
OW 0 27 160 525 92 25 0 0
VODI 0 0 36 701 583 134 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 145 1155 706 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 193 2659 6278 1737 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 134 3513 6390 1899

Date: 2016-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29 3362 1494 548 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1 15 737 35 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 646 523 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 135 2235 596 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 1560 8208 1045 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 1412 6235 3153
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29 3336 1288 483 12 14 0 0
OW 0 27 189 567 84 30 0 0
VODI 0 0 32 700 557 167 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 187 1216 906 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 139 2131 6659 2435 35
VCDI 0 0 0 28 361 2495 4841 3118

Date: 2016-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 2449 2595 660 11 1 0 0
OW 0 11 38 672 82 9 0 0
VODI 0 2 19 692 573 79 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 259 2199 498 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 1971 7930 727 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 71 1790 5798 2825
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 2415 2439 643 20 38 0 0
OW 0 33 157 584 108 64 0 0
VODI 0 4 37 633 582 183 4 0
ODI 0 10 16 293 1295 780 99 0
CDI 0 0 6 200 2671 7136 2787 15
VCDI 0 0 0 1 231 2106 3641 2810


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