Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66147 19796 5637 2937 270 13 0 0
OW 28 6 59 826 271 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 379 500 39 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 76 487 159 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 460 1314 911 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 96 423 3975 4237
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66805 20296 5346 2353 259 21 0 0
OW 17 3 76 663 240 22 0 0
VODI 0 0 14 371 423 56 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 97 437 184 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 474 1298 1512 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 119 306 2693 4944
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60919 22012 8865 3272 182 23 0 0
OW 25 6 15 734 119 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 402 470 25 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 53 635 119 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 482 1737 468 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 999 5651 1795
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64214 22180 6666 2292 114 11 0 0
OW 24 5 26 724 134 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 394 428 25 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 605 172 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 530 1764 735 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 1409 5377 1117
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64214 22180 6654 2428 133 10 0 0
OW 24 5 38 613 128 9 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 373 423 30 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 635 206 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 493 1710 682 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 1424 5416 1117

Date: 2016-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64934 21648 6005 3073 103 26 0 0
OW 16 0 42 720 133 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 383 385 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 72 599 231 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 446 1950 1164 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 644 3744 2660
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64934 21648 6007 3201 124 25 0 0
OW 16 0 40 591 130 18 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 390 389 45 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 631 299 62 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 371 1835 1163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 686 3722 2660

Date: 2016-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65757 22363 5749 2016 108 7 0 0
OW 21 6 35 652 82 8 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 467 437 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 1002 235 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 423 2297 271 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 681 3928 2476
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65768 22360 5728 2126 140 12 0 0
OW 10 9 56 562 136 16 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 426 462 56 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 743 419 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 454 1799 842 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 135 940 3350 2476

Date: 2016-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61960 25383 6282 2761 103 6 0 0
OW 10 35 12 600 115 8 0 0
VODI 0 4 0 299 561 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 874 244 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 631 1499 388 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 941 3686 2632
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61961 25406 6193 2670 130 8 0 0
OW 9 14 96 496 123 17 0 0
VODI 0 2 5 441 508 81 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 776 448 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 707 1218 803 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 947 3262 2632

Date: 2016-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68050 20573 6171 2045 135 10 0 0
OW 9 4 6 562 186 14 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 191 616 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 748 279 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 535 1594 378 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 737 3199 2978
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68050 20569 5991 1726 152 13 0 0
OW 9 8 160 460 137 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 26 461 496 187 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 145 727 326 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 653 1336 1071 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 800 2493 2978


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