Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1011 740 701 131 4 4 0
OW 0 0 13 507 308 15 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 399 738 231 3 0
ODI 0 1 4 160 1040 665 172 0
CDI 0 0 11 150 2075 2078 1227 0
VCDI 0 0 0 141 1068 5177 10131 3175
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1247 781 826 74 4 4 0
OW 0 0 14 563 343 15 3 0
VODI 0 0 0 396 1090 290 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 134 835 640 87 0
CDI 0 0 0 104 1919 2857 1736 3
VCDI 0 0 0 149 1093 3327 8546 4999
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 944 1221 825 54 6 7 0
OW 0 2 14 650 136 4 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 429 770 33 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 1365 583 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 1461 4221 1104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 669 2473 12480 2401
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1502 1075 662 49 6 4 0
OW 0 23 99 637 149 6 1 0
VODI 0 0 20 321 1070 156 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 846 820 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 849 3710 1718 0
VCDI 0 0 0 74 438 4646 11733 1292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1519 1135 834 57 6 4 0
OW 0 6 41 502 190 1 1 0
VODI 0 0 18 310 989 171 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 825 910 62 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 894 3497 1676 0
VCDI 0 0 0 77 446 4759 11760 1292

Date: 2016-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1649 1188 819 34 1 4 0
OW 0 12 60 677 159 7 1 0
VODI 0 0 15 357 1057 167 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 97 642 732 101 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 655 4199 1835 0
VCDI 0 0 0 78 351 3558 11089 2513
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1655 1213 953 50 1 4 0
OW 0 6 36 564 167 4 1 0
VODI 0 0 14 374 1071 201 20 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 555 780 102 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 691 4178 1733 43
VCDI 0 0 0 77 364 3500 11182 2470

Date: 2016-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 508 2310 1115 25 0 0 0
OW 0 0 18 629 58 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 568 642 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 1751 432 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 669 5834 479 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 126 1999 11480 3260
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 508 2263 1399 52 0 0 0
OW 0 0 57 521 278 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 342 1124 177 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 81 602 695 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 828 4870 3259 312
VCDI 0 0 0 71 387 2563 8654 2948

Date: 2016-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2405 1343 608 23 2 0 0
OW 0 7 85 710 122 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 630 651 134 13 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 1214 466 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 165 1588 4389 696 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 1200 4273 8829 2331
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2371 1334 807 51 0 0 0
OW 0 41 69 658 260 23 0 0
VODI 0 0 35 414 773 258 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 127 627 695 95 0
CDI 0 0 0 101 1597 5822 4890 1081
VCDI 0 0 0 152 1490 2474 4565 1250

Date: 2016-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1576 1051 1886 37 10 0 0
OW 0 7 99 712 190 20 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 555 695 169 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 113 993 570 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 161 2095 5756 886 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 252 5028 5565 3615
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1580 1131 2237 50 19 0 0
OW 0 3 19 581 464 79 4 0
VODI 0 0 3 252 666 410 33 0
ODI 0 0 0 135 689 765 89 0
CDI 0 0 0 103 1378 8703 4754 1455
VCDI 0 0 0 120 1015 1577 1608 2160


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