Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1637 1481 1103 205 4 0 0
OW 0 51 162 550 288 24 0 0
VODI 0 9 113 496 599 91 11 0
ODI 0 2 105 391 761 292 71 0
CDI 0 0 57 501 1504 4706 2896 3
VCDI 0 0 0 173 876 3930 18014 4760
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1641 1610 1139 183 11 0 0
OW 0 59 165 573 293 26 1 0
VODI 0 20 126 576 492 142 12 0
ODI 0 4 104 468 740 410 84 0
CDI 0 0 53 679 2026 4813 3291 47
VCDI 0 0 0 84 953 5314 10845 8882
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1899 1614 1241 143 7 0 0
OW 0 47 255 751 219 2 1 0
VODI 0 3 99 821 615 11 5 0
ODI 0 0 6 516 1292 269 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 333 2167 5300 2057 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 1051 5412 12170 7521
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1874 1838 1396 140 44 0 0
OW 0 40 208 734 221 17 3 0
VODI 0 9 94 784 635 26 6 0
ODI 0 4 24 451 1140 351 29 0
CDI 0 1 4 455 2344 5246 3798 0
VCDI 0 0 0 85 1258 4311 13000 5296
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1883 1856 1511 164 35 0 0
OW 0 31 202 654 185 21 1 0
VODI 0 9 82 772 599 31 8 0
ODI 0 4 25 464 1109 316 29 0
CDI 0 1 3 421 2404 5053 3853 0
VCDI 0 0 0 83 1277 4539 12945 5296

Date: 2016-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2124 1573 1531 41 91 18 0
OW 0 16 232 845 120 102 0 0
VODI 0 14 73 981 575 68 0 0
ODI 0 1 13 646 1307 381 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 570 3578 4375 3430 73
VCDI 0 0 0 62 1739 4332 9425 7528
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2121 1628 1607 42 94 15 0
OW 0 19 190 775 98 87 3 0
VODI 0 13 57 999 529 80 0 0
ODI 0 2 16 627 1229 372 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 570 3555 4253 3940 270
VCDI 0 0 0 57 1907 4463 8913 7331

Date: 2016-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2351 1553 1594 60 83 0 0
OW 0 30 274 940 80 37 0 0
VODI 0 8 35 1426 680 49 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 567 2488 474 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 241 2365 5525 394 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1025 4082 12920 6578
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2314 1521 1693 100 114 0 0
OW 0 41 202 809 114 104 0 0
VODI 0 33 110 1011 700 89 2 0
ODI 0 3 30 553 1221 457 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 681 2956 5651 3436 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 1607 3835 9863 6578

Date: 2016-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2483 2180 1797 59 141 0 0
OW 0 54 280 909 246 47 0 0
VODI 0 11 50 1103 861 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 630 1814 490 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 379 2696 4625 542 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 512 11552 9513 2791
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2454 1925 1541 70 235 0 0
OW 0 68 331 768 139 41 0 0
VODI 0 23 187 969 572 88 6 0
ODI 0 2 48 660 1433 460 62 0
CDI 0 1 23 867 3037 6095 3095 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 937 10019 6906 2791

Date: 2016-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3184 2137 1738 189 149 1 0
OW 0 116 269 799 499 51 1 0
VODI 0 31 111 950 775 315 2 0
ODI 0 0 19 628 1699 1112 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 480 2955 2975 125 0
VCDI 0 0 0 38 864 9664 10795 3190
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3104 1855 1401 99 258 2 0
OW 0 156 303 638 221 25 0 0
VODI 0 52 220 873 705 69 0 0
ODI 0 15 97 716 1761 893 7 0
CDI 0 4 61 1001 3236 7659 1747 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 959 5362 9173 3190


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