Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66509 21386 3683 2263 227 68 2 0
OW 34 7 17 766 338 20 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 400 1064 82 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 705 308 55 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 229 1146 1544 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1158 5507 1553
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64360 22532 4661 2533 317 56 0 0
OW 31 7 52 649 530 22 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 335 861 119 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 522 326 101 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 184 1009 1847 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 757 5051 2201
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67408 20577 3958 2317 278 24 0 0
OW 31 8 13 690 284 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 406 724 14 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 635 144 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 356 1220 467 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 664 4103 4741
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65097 20622 5664 3079 286 8 0 0
OW 29 6 10 800 302 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 397 580 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 510 134 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 456 1494 621 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 857 4286 3720
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65097 20622 5663 3153 301 7 0 0
OW 29 6 11 670 267 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 441 545 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 589 132 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 424 1520 688 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 834 4221 3717

Date: 2016-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65401 22154 4517 2576 231 25 0 0
OW 28 6 89 785 217 20 2 0
VODI 0 0 10 414 436 36 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 101 432 160 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 512 1382 1039 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 121 339 3067 4925
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65412 22156 4525 2665 242 20 0 0
OW 17 4 81 677 200 21 1 0
VODI 0 0 10 444 415 37 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 92 494 177 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 446 1349 1090 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 152 358 3023 4924

Date: 2016-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63246 24153 5103 2266 160 17 0 0
OW 28 6 28 827 131 14 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 503 408 14 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 756 98 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 390 1573 357 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 49 453 5067 3393
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63258 24156 5072 2619 250 19 0 0
OW 16 3 55 538 182 14 2 0
VODI 0 0 4 387 418 60 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 472 256 64 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 441 1439 1675 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 131 381 3688 3374

Date: 2016-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62711 21821 7614 3046 180 15 0 0
OW 24 5 19 687 165 6 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 366 471 29 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 58 581 156 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 486 1730 707 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 889 5768 1479
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62720 21823 7547 3195 285 18 1 0
OW 15 3 81 512 161 22 3 0
VODI 0 0 5 347 430 111 20 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 516 308 109 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 422 1651 1775 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 112 715 4590 1479

Date: 2016-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61094 26953 5485 2002 96 20 0 0
OW 24 5 54 707 119 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 427 381 39 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 597 190 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 683 1505 949 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 878 5266 1491
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61104 26943 5357 2178 223 29 0 0
OW 14 15 131 462 175 27 1 0
VODI 0 0 51 375 374 135 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 177 484 324 212 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 528 1410 1987 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 102 722 4040 1491


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