Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 862 530 217 58 0 0 0
OW 0 1 12 429 161 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 5 407 500 56 1 0
ODI 0 0 6 213 739 525 33 0
CDI 0 0 2 313 1076 1957 553 13
VCDI 0 0 0 278 1321 4351 13898 3560
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 795 683 323 78 0 0 0
OW 0 0 33 483 179 15 1 0
VODI 0 5 4 337 535 80 5 0
ODI 0 1 7 187 752 665 44 0
CDI 0 0 12 310 1229 1871 605 0
VCDI 0 0 0 329 2546 3537 10676 5755
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 915 667 408 54 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 574 93 4 4 0
VODI 0 0 0 407 589 51 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 1125 806 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 140 1958 2416 468 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 679 4272 10581 5738
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 968 808 600 59 2 1 0
OW 0 1 9 586 192 7 4 0
VODI 0 4 3 504 639 131 3 0
ODI 0 1 9 186 1262 532 50 0
CDI 0 0 14 289 2300 1568 756 0
VCDI 0 0 0 251 1086 5291 12746 1220
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 968 795 737 127 2 2 0
OW 0 1 22 492 218 19 3 0
VODI 0 4 4 461 625 184 3 0
ODI 0 1 4 189 1147 542 180 0
CDI 0 0 18 289 2435 1597 596 0
VCDI 0 0 0 248 986 5187 12776 1220

Date: 2016-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1149 730 767 71 5 3 0
OW 0 0 12 576 313 16 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 434 859 216 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 162 1051 568 167 0
CDI 0 0 0 158 2156 2376 1398 0
VCDI 0 0 0 145 1010 4857 8011 4866
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1149 733 952 226 13 3 0
OW 0 0 9 454 291 51 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 367 811 263 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 156 952 528 185 0
CDI 0 0 0 155 2136 2507 1406 0
VCDI 0 0 0 158 1044 4676 7971 4866

Date: 2016-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 988 1066 814 39 7 5 0
OW 0 0 13 559 137 2 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 571 578 25 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 1689 360 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 1508 4724 470 0
VCDI 0 0 0 62 563 2487 12931 2326
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 988 1072 1218 311 14 6 0
OW 0 0 7 397 331 67 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 244 959 465 63 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 644 592 88 0
CDI 0 0 0 73 1233 3631 2211 12
VCDI 0 0 0 133 1036 2836 11056 2314

Date: 2016-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 931 1326 785 58 6 7 0
OW 0 3 102 646 146 2 1 0
VODI 0 0 14 317 958 108 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 121 972 855 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 1067 3599 1681 0
VCDI 0 0 0 71 576 3223 12828 1602
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 934 1380 1167 355 51 7 0
OW 0 0 52 261 387 112 1 0
VODI 0 0 10 270 893 525 33 0
ODI 0 0 0 92 449 667 179 0
CDI 0 0 0 81 794 3041 3498 271
VCDI 0 0 0 106 899 3397 10839 1331

Date: 2016-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 2049 679 733 44 3 3 0
OW 0 25 56 656 149 7 2 0
VODI 0 0 15 322 1091 184 29 0
ODI 0 0 0 90 675 787 98 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 799 4134 1508 0
VCDI 0 0 0 85 420 4992 11341 1065
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 2051 669 981 385 77 3 0
OW 0 23 66 288 462 149 5 0
VODI 0 0 15 314 591 400 63 0
ODI 0 0 0 115 461 634 227 0
CDI 0 0 0 115 647 3617 5523 337
VCDI 0 0 0 101 632 5230 7160 728


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