Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-06-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 940 282 157 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 62 164 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 22 163 287 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 396 227 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 984 2066 218 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 288 4225 14119 7262
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 953 258 151 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 70 176 78 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 23 247 240 91 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 205 383 252 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 137 1117 1977 498 14
VCDI 0 0 0 13 440 3483 14901 6338
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 848 424 216 6 0 0 0
OW 0 0 8 331 75 13 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 414 373 57 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 143 795 311 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 200 978 2082 306 0
VCDI 0 0 0 28 410 2619 11146 10269
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 758 586 213 30 0 0 0
OW 0 0 6 376 121 18 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 413 458 73 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 164 789 477 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 214 982 2113 574 0
VCDI 0 0 0 60 1110 5262 14661 2581
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 758 582 277 67 5 0 0
OW 0 0 10 361 115 18 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 370 476 83 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 151 738 763 74 0
CDI 0 0 0 212 964 1748 450 0
VCDI 0 0 0 69 1130 5326 14753 2581

Date: 2016-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 968 488 283 58 0 0 0
OW 0 0 27 461 166 13 1 0
VODI 0 3 4 359 518 68 2 0
ODI 0 0 6 226 690 633 45 0
CDI 0 0 14 332 1106 1777 689 0
VCDI 0 0 0 444 2276 3639 10437 6349
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 968 494 398 111 2 0 0
OW 0 1 21 436 177 15 1 0
VODI 0 2 6 289 541 80 2 0
ODI 0 0 9 192 621 756 128 0
CDI 0 0 9 379 1067 1579 511 0
VCDI 0 0 0 411 2297 3698 10532 6349

Date: 2016-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 595 919 286 55 0 0 0
OW 0 0 26 456 109 0 4 0
VODI 0 0 1 570 470 18 4 0
ODI 0 0 1 98 1526 363 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 163 2188 2677 326 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1326 3427 11261 5202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 595 931 456 199 0 0 0
OW 0 0 14 490 225 4 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 210 791 133 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 157 635 748 23 0
CDI 0 0 2 175 1190 1881 575 0
VCDI 0 0 0 85 2634 3719 10995 5202

Date: 2016-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 630 996 517 78 1 0 0
OW 0 0 5 628 135 5 3 0
VODI 0 0 4 415 616 94 1 0
ODI 0 0 2 142 1211 673 49 0
CDI 0 0 9 182 2198 1712 542 0
VCDI 0 0 0 137 842 4482 11897 3876
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 630 994 864 192 3 0 0
OW 0 0 5 394 277 31 3 0
VODI 0 0 0 169 833 331 8 0
ODI 0 0 7 182 644 536 227 0
CDI 0 0 10 232 1346 1650 576 0
VCDI 0 0 0 180 1788 4416 11678 3876

Date: 2016-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1011 740 701 131 4 4 0
OW 0 0 13 507 308 15 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 399 738 231 3 0
ODI 0 1 4 160 1040 665 172 0
CDI 0 0 11 150 2075 2078 1227 0
VCDI 0 0 0 141 1068 5177 10131 3175
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1011 753 1130 361 37 4 0
OW 0 0 0 234 522 90 2 0
VODI 0 0 0 132 801 411 60 0
ODI 0 0 0 109 421 538 258 0
CDI 0 1 10 233 948 1187 1372 0
VCDI 0 0 5 220 2307 5907 9843 3175


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