Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-05-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 863 148 91 6 0 0 0
OW 0 12 69 51 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 34 87 108 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 234 166 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 425 1021 515 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 408 3139 14504 10026
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 837 195 113 5 0 0 0
OW 0 12 80 112 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 28 136 276 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 84 334 107 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 469 1102 444 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 707 3721 14033 9140
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 726 396 215 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 198 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 117 291 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 541 137 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 634 1550 139 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 383 4877 15972 5803
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 930 321 128 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 55 149 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 170 285 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 451 150 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 942 1816 178 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 267 4419 12439 9206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 930 324 142 13 0 0 0
OW 0 0 51 151 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 158 273 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 430 137 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 963 1766 196 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 263 4473 12423 9206

Date: 2016-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 876 330 189 2 0 0 0
OW 0 2 59 147 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 176 299 64 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 115 374 254 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 1018 2161 333 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 347 4271 14808 6093
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 878 345 178 30 0 0 0
OW 0 0 41 172 65 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 168 261 75 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 107 366 260 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 59 1086 2211 445 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 316 4203 14696 6090

Date: 2016-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 917 333 157 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 19 256 42 0 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 514 297 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 129 903 192 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 120 1020 2373 157 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 192 2314 12237 9853
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 904 244 114 35 0 0 0
OW 0 13 74 150 68 24 1 0
VODI 0 0 32 343 240 140 11 2
ODI 0 0 2 280 391 259 45 16
CDI 0 0 0 259 1248 1899 667 45
VCDI 0 0 0 33 473 2592 11688 9790

Date: 2016-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 891 407 237 16 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 390 108 9 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 384 429 62 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 172 708 417 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 221 927 1926 640 0
VCDI 0 0 0 28 532 2694 15586 5259
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 881 234 93 73 18 1 0
OW 0 10 150 129 134 63 8 0
VODI 0 0 25 378 296 195 34 0
ODI 0 0 0 417 405 345 116 0
CDI 0 0 0 351 1162 1656 1023 0
VCDI 0 0 0 64 650 2831 15081 5259

Date: 2016-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 862 530 217 58 0 0 0
OW 0 1 12 429 161 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 5 407 500 56 1 0
ODI 0 0 6 213 739 525 33 0
CDI 0 0 2 313 1076 1957 553 13
VCDI 0 0 0 278 1321 4351 13898 3560
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 856 258 77 154 9 17 0
OW 0 7 191 97 184 41 25 0
VODI 0 2 94 383 363 179 59 0
ODI 0 0 12 515 482 421 93 0
CDI 0 0 0 559 1344 1889 635 1
VCDI 0 0 0 226 1328 4353 13656 3572


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