Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-05-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70385 17423 2169 1161 216 12 0 0
OW 58 34 166 606 200 69 0 0
VODI 0 25 62 368 549 138 13 0
ODI 0 21 17 292 543 362 17 0
CDI 0 12 36 170 601 1535 550 0
VCDI 0 0 16 86 179 1951 4408 4650
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70550 17693 1992 1145 289 7 0 0
OW 54 66 197 563 264 47 0 0
VODI 0 39 82 463 544 143 4 0
ODI 0 31 90 222 377 394 29 0
CDI 0 25 84 165 366 1460 615 0
VCDI 0 2 34 167 132 1193 5566 4006
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71541 17390 1975 1199 224 16 0 0
OW 52 60 162 596 188 19 0 0
VODI 0 5 89 404 504 50 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 207 554 330 1 0
CDI 0 0 5 113 480 1681 300 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 66 974 5246 4641
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71718 17312 1884 1205 192 9 0 0
OW 52 64 153 561 272 17 0 0
VODI 0 6 103 346 525 93 1 0
ODI 0 0 33 147 516 447 39 0
CDI 0 0 5 173 496 1615 836 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 54 656 5015 4554
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71718 17312 1866 1192 215 11 0 0
OW 52 66 173 571 250 15 0 0
VODI 0 4 106 349 519 94 0 0
ODI 0 0 30 154 536 470 32 0
CDI 0 0 3 164 484 1530 850 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 51 717 5009 4554

Date: 2016-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71098 17577 2042 1290 225 42 0 0
OW 51 52 115 607 279 30 0 0
VODI 0 5 78 354 624 145 1 0
ODI 0 0 31 144 783 430 56 0
CDI 0 0 0 136 592 1984 891 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 956 4062 4402
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71098 17590 2021 1348 268 46 0 0
OW 51 43 145 544 250 26 0 0
VODI 0 1 74 359 621 132 0 0
ODI 0 0 26 148 789 454 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 132 579 1717 947 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1212 4027 4402

Date: 2016-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71230 17754 2103 1202 180 0 0 0
OW 50 0 83 703 201 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 11 508 773 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 1023 292 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 485 2761 246 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 845 4451 4024
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71230 17722 1993 1324 355 0 0 0
OW 50 28 105 587 336 16 0 0
VODI 0 4 65 355 785 140 4 0
ODI 0 0 34 145 618 542 58 0
CDI 0 0 0 137 501 2097 877 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 67 1142 3758 4024

Date: 2016-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63116 22448 5138 1936 206 14 0 0
OW 42 4 46 763 326 33 0 0
VODI 0 0 19 300 985 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 96 824 305 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 579 2569 213 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1790 5554 1676
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63116 22438 4985 2016 443 44 0 0
OW 42 11 98 616 431 23 0 0
VODI 0 3 66 274 856 147 2 0
ODI 0 0 47 77 662 596 49 0
CDI 0 0 10 179 482 2190 326 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 1751 5396 1676

Date: 2016-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63773 22990 3917 2134 262 37 0 0
OW 50 7 77 728 455 63 0 0
VODI 0 0 42 271 877 74 1 0
ODI 0 0 8 140 955 334 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 636 2081 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1246 5490 2147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63773 22917 3717 2213 564 96 0 0
OW 50 27 108 487 481 63 0 0
VODI 0 40 58 297 802 279 19 0
ODI 0 13 59 110 692 448 84 0
CDI 0 0 102 222 588 1703 394 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 58 1246 5238 2147


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 30. mai 18:17:47 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy