Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-05-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 538 191 111 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 26 60 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 88 22 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 120 91 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 376 564 311 12
VCDI 0 0 0 38 238 1685 9026 18489
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 580 161 98 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 37 51 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 89 22 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 87 101 43 18
CDI 0 0 0 2 301 729 439 71
VCDI 0 0 0 22 404 2223 11882 14654
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 703 187 108 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 42 40 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 90 61 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 144 78 30 4
CDI 0 0 0 3 434 1055 206 10
VCDI 0 0 0 11 391 3824 12361 12231
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 795 177 64 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 57 63 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 25 81 83 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 76 209 140 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 432 1096 364 3
VCDI 0 0 0 9 508 3338 14780 9726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 793 171 60 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 62 61 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 26 81 85 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 185 143 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 445 1094 366 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 516 3330 14784 9729

Date: 2016-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 862 188 72 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 77 74 28 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 56 107 206 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 315 123 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 532 1020 374 3
VCDI 0 0 0 10 539 3387 15377 8573
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 850 189 78 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 64 62 30 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 67 105 200 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 82 290 111 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 531 1023 460 7
VCDI 0 0 0 9 569 3386 15291 8569

Date: 2016-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 845 317 94 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 16 211 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 156 245 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 604 141 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 557 1697 161 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 419 3331 15545 7648
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 839 253 96 36 0 0 0
OW 0 6 70 135 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 158 282 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 315 171 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 397 1141 588 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 753 3848 15104 7648

Date: 2016-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 702 487 154 3 0 0 0
OW 0 0 5 184 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 129 313 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 482 174 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 749 1693 174 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 303 4414 14328 7671
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 701 374 109 87 0 0 0
OW 0 1 91 107 96 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 27 162 243 123 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 88 267 206 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 516 987 476 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 690 4970 14005 7671

Date: 2016-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 940 282 157 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 62 164 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 22 163 287 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 396 227 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 984 2066 218 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 288 4225 14119 7262
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 858 226 182 99 6 0 0
OW 0 76 44 126 98 39 0 0
VODI 0 7 68 140 169 199 1 0
ODI 0 0 27 54 288 271 14 0
CDI 0 0 1 98 517 1217 281 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 847 4820 14046 7262


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