Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-05-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 655 118 61 42 0 0 0
OW 0 38 26 57 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 37 75 75 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 18 43 137 104 19 1
CDI 0 0 0 77 195 788 156 34
VCDI 0 0 0 5 133 1574 9293 18280
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 588 115 61 47 1 0 0
OW 0 19 28 60 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 34 53 73 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 46 99 182 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 171 388 462 61
VCDI 0 0 0 8 199 1639 10358 17272
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 596 169 78 14 0 0 0
OW 0 15 25 83 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 14 108 184 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 161 186 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 176 671 264 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 199 2479 10508 16040
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 546 148 67 25 0 0 0
OW 0 7 15 70 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 27 105 117 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 139 164 1 2
CDI 0 0 0 21 186 505 367 33
VCDI 0 0 0 0 317 2198 8411 18505
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 547 149 77 28 0 0 0
OW 0 6 14 60 32 2 0 0
VODI 0 2 25 86 105 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 60 110 123 11 5
CDI 0 0 0 25 199 496 345 38
VCDI 0 0 0 0 330 2240 8423 18497

Date: 2016-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 492 140 96 28 0 0 0
OW 0 2 13 48 17 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 68 70 86 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 131 154 59 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 201 398 505 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 388 2341 9023 17737
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 492 142 105 29 1 0 0
OW 0 2 11 45 23 14 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 56 53 77 17 0
ODI 0 0 1 54 111 115 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 225 398 538 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 394 2380 8974 17737

Date: 2016-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 533 156 102 30 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 79 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 95 63 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 186 113 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 279 1029 65 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 258 1654 8798 18589
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 532 130 81 30 0 0 0
OW 0 1 18 38 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 71 52 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 105 175 21 8
CDI 0 0 0 35 245 422 489 24
VCDI 0 0 0 14 377 2168 8353 18557

Date: 2016-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 543 155 138 10 0 0 0
OW 0 0 7 69 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 80 15 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 123 154 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 282 810 231 9
VCDI 0 0 0 16 170 1960 8435 18815
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 539 110 115 10 0 0 0
OW 0 4 23 39 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 23 56 8 37 8 0
ODI 0 0 6 62 89 169 51 3
CDI 0 0 0 52 236 536 599 48
VCDI 0 0 0 25 258 2194 8009 18773

Date: 2016-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 538 191 111 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 26 60 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 88 22 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 120 91 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 376 564 311 12
VCDI 0 0 0 38 238 1685 9026 18489
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 535 169 127 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 33 47 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 18 68 28 9 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 54 121 94 54 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 315 566 739 20
VCDI 0 0 0 41 294 1674 8556 18481


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