Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-04-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 566 18 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 79 32 18 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 41 86 56 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 34 47 54 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 20 60 168 148 64 0
VCDI 0 0 2 72 166 1827 10802 17670
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 574 15 8 14 0 0 0
OW 0 84 6 24 60 5 0 0
VODI 0 48 31 83 27 1 0 0
ODI 0 21 33 26 100 38 0 0
CDI 0 5 41 63 205 296 91 7
VCDI 0 0 11 111 301 2921 8638 18194
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 742 104 67 30 4 0 0
OW 0 24 32 59 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 36 62 69 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 64 153 165 7 0
CDI 0 0 3 77 342 983 180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 170 2070 9595 16977
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 691 97 63 50 0 0 0
OW 0 46 21 55 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 33 72 70 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 71 146 134 11 0
CDI 0 0 3 88 298 633 367 19
VCDI 0 0 0 6 193 1763 10584 16495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 717 97 67 56 0 0 0
OW 0 28 23 38 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 39 85 72 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 13 69 149 133 19 0
CDI 0 0 3 96 318 617 437 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 166 1779 10506 16495

Date: 2016-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 596 124 60 48 0 0 0
OW 0 32 27 53 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 37 47 70 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 53 133 128 17 2
CDI 0 0 0 64 201 525 424 40
VCDI 0 0 0 11 238 1584 9093 18422
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 614 114 52 44 0 0 0
OW 0 27 46 58 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 39 53 75 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 54 130 122 32 5
CDI 0 0 0 71 215 569 550 38
VCDI 0 0 0 0 221 1539 8952 18421

Date: 2016-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 598 173 88 32 0 0 0
OW 0 21 44 87 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 101 208 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 274 131 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 208 901 128 24
VCDI 0 0 0 1 171 2351 8924 17522
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 578 144 61 27 0 0 0
OW 0 35 26 61 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 35 76 130 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 15 50 194 58 14 4
CDI 0 0 0 66 243 553 192 63
VCDI 0 0 0 34 296 2776 8849 17479

Date: 2016-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 544 165 83 25 0 0 0
OW 0 6 15 82 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 22 95 164 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 161 151 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 180 545 323 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 200 2259 8921 17997
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 545 160 62 23 0 0 0
OW 0 11 26 66 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 97 101 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 174 90 20 6
CDI 0 0 0 32 233 578 300 45
VCDI 0 0 0 4 217 2312 8929 17968

Date: 2016-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 516 155 73 23 0 0 0
OW 0 6 15 46 14 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 19 72 76 75 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 58 131 157 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 204 498 442 8
VCDI 0 0 0 2 385 2254 8644 18157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 519 153 58 22 0 0 0
OW 0 4 22 48 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 15 71 73 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 119 152 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 222 509 477 8
VCDI 0 0 0 1 385 2299 8617 18157


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