Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2016-04-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64575 19364 2017 1828 201 0 0 0
OW 60 147 230 883 536 1 0 0
VODI 0 13 85 517 985 82 0 0
ODI 0 3 42 231 761 457 0 0
CDI 0 0 21 187 1203 1648 140 3
VCDI 0 0 2 222 1835 9502 34195 45072
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64799 19292 2003 1944 390 0 0 0
OW 60 130 243 557 733 17 0 0
VODI 0 48 116 431 882 64 0 0
ODI 0 21 44 328 637 419 0 0
CDI 0 5 41 363 1010 1696 184 7
VCDI 0 0 11 469 2247 9659 32161 46037
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65123 19497 2469 2251 283 4 0 0
OW 56 34 97 708 609 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 43 474 989 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 26 295 1001 468 7 0
CDI 0 0 31 235 1409 2407 272 0
VCDI 0 0 12 382 1540 9851 31790 44649
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65707 19682 2301 2035 285 0 0 0
OW 56 62 122 556 699 7 0 0
VODI 0 23 153 500 700 149 2 0
ODI 0 0 66 343 692 617 33 0
CDI 0 0 62 336 1215 2034 798 19
VCDI 0 0 107 420 2025 7356 35847 42039
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65707 19674 2292 2007 326 0 0 0
OW 56 78 133 557 606 9 0 0
VODI 0 15 163 532 755 178 1 0
ODI 0 0 58 335 761 497 46 0
CDI 0 0 63 360 1229 2076 852 19
VCDI 0 0 102 399 1939 7403 35781 42039

Date: 2016-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66498 19486 2321 1639 130 0 0 0
OW 55 64 169 695 581 10 0 0
VODI 0 47 194 561 522 182 8 0
ODI 0 20 76 411 685 426 86 2
CDI 0 5 83 334 1393 1840 883 44
VCDI 0 0 160 534 1882 7890 32809 44323
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66498 19483 2298 1644 165 1 0 0
OW 55 85 229 681 454 30 0 0
VODI 0 35 190 585 602 193 11 0
ODI 0 18 69 412 763 385 68 5
CDI 0 1 79 367 1399 1868 1057 43
VCDI 0 0 138 485 1810 7871 32650 44321

Date: 2016-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67405 18616 2449 1782 183 0 0 0
OW 53 74 222 888 376 1 0 0
VODI 0 31 48 849 818 59 0 0
ODI 0 42 74 316 1346 370 35 0
CDI 0 0 81 393 1748 3003 830 24
VCDI 0 0 5 161 1323 8316 34264 40863
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67404 18419 2239 1919 277 18 0 0
OW 54 114 214 533 451 41 31 0
VODI 0 64 188 554 597 204 68 0
ODI 0 62 48 444 701 313 154 4
CDI 0 66 30 382 1551 1730 1367 89
VCDI 0 38 160 557 2217 9443 33509 40794

Date: 2016-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67526 18475 2513 1997 312 5 0 0
OW 53 78 161 736 315 50 2 0
VODI 0 65 115 743 735 129 25 0
ODI 0 38 70 377 1018 465 124 0
CDI 0 28 103 521 1373 2465 1234 34
VCDI 0 0 11 334 1543 8481 34630 40164
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67525 18239 2251 1965 314 34 15 0
OW 54 140 170 494 464 85 44 0
VODI 0 83 208 573 610 184 77 0
ODI 0 64 128 452 707 522 152 6
CDI 0 81 57 553 1258 1746 1198 85
VCDI 0 77 159 671 1943 9024 34529 40107

Date: 2016-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67959 18485 2287 1996 201 16 0 0
OW 54 72 245 690 250 64 19 0
VODI 0 56 188 697 796 173 69 0
ODI 0 20 112 445 989 392 134 0
CDI 0 7 86 617 1520 2124 966 28
VCDI 0 0 15 318 1896 8218 33060 41784
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67959 18182 2060 2030 275 50 63 0
OW 54 167 166 512 465 35 43 0
VODI 0 113 192 505 664 243 57 0
ODI 0 92 158 369 692 532 137 0
CDI 0 57 228 598 1169 1610 1197 54
VCDI 0 29 129 749 2387 8517 32751 41758


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh on. 30. mai 17:47:57 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy