Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-04-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 317 21 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 5 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 5 0 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 115 23 22 41 20 2 0
CDI 0 31 87 125 134 86 39 7
VCDI 0 0 4 53 135 1446 8609 20603
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 313 12 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 6 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 3 1 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 60 9 47 14 1 1 2
CDI 0 66 74 89 61 68 51 69
VCDI 0 1 21 96 185 874 7271 22558
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 396 23 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 4 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 47 21 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 45 85 38 10 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 198 157 106 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 829 9386 20483
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 392 18 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 12 21 0 3 0 0
ODI 0 40 68 28 5 32 2 0
CDI 0 0 21 100 92 103 43 4
VCDI 0 0 0 42 179 1027 7907 21839
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 393 18 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 9 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 15 24 0 2 0 0
ODI 0 30 74 39 12 29 2 0
CDI 0 0 10 89 100 121 36 3
VCDI 0 0 0 39 164 1013 7914 21840

Date: 2016-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 385 11 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 10 13 3 7 0 0
ODI 0 55 14 20 16 42 4 0
CDI 0 15 80 48 32 205 172 4
VCDI 0 0 1 122 246 1494 8409 20570
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 367 12 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 13 18 1 6 0 0
ODI 0 52 31 26 19 51 4 0
CDI 0 0 60 42 35 199 182 4
VCDI 0 0 0 117 242 1492 8399 20570

Date: 2016-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 555 78 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 35 31 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 72 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 56 115 39 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 99 168 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 131 1003 11943 17572
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 328 17 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 3 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 1 19 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 4 27 36 16 11 0
CDI 0 31 68 33 94 153 197 2
VCDI 0 0 31 135 236 1041 11826 17570

Date: 2016-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 592 23 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 37 13 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 48 34 59 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 27 52 73 11 1 0
CDI 0 0 10 74 66 187 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 68 199 1476 11732 17150
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 353 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 85 5 0 7 2 0 0
VODI 0 76 3 4 51 1 0 0
ODI 0 58 4 19 46 22 7 0
CDI 0 57 12 25 61 197 119 0
VCDI 0 31 107 195 238 1454 11679 17150

Date: 2016-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 566 18 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 79 32 18 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 41 86 56 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 34 47 54 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 20 60 168 148 64 0
VCDI 0 0 2 72 166 1827 10802 17670
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 447 15 0 7 0 0 0
OW 0 70 3 0 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 9 11 62 1 0 0
ODI 0 51 19 52 26 70 10 0
CDI 0 22 49 47 54 247 153 6
VCDI 0 3 52 173 301 1662 10703 17664


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