Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-04-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 347 23 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 87 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 7 2 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 87 6 6 29 11 0 0
CDI 0 98 11 18 84 145 38 19
VCDI 0 58 117 202 305 1947 8605 19728
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 269 17 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 10 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 3 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 55 11 4 21 59 17 0
CDI 0 86 24 38 104 287 184 31
VCDI 0 67 115 226 286 1331 9312 19428
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 343 22 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 9 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 111 41 20 4 5 0 0
ODI 0 22 65 124 29 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 77 179 325 153 8
VCDI 0 0 0 16 116 576 8358 21382
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 6 298 50 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 61 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 84 20 2 1 0
ODI 0 0 5 177 62 32 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 174 130 118 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 520 8219 21958
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 6 308 50 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 64 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 74 21 4 2 0
ODI 0 0 4 191 69 30 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 171 131 127 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 89 519 8205 21958

Date: 2016-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 306 20 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 6 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 1 0 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 74 10 13 59 3 0 0
CDI 0 56 84 106 118 76 14 13
VCDI 0 0 16 68 158 1177 7097 22463
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 310 23 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 3 0 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 15 9 62 2 0 0
CDI 0 56 76 114 125 75 21 18
VCDI 0 0 16 64 147 1179 7090 22458

Date: 2016-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 413 25 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 68 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 93 52 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 91 124 6 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 132 144 158 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 562 8417 21648
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 305 13 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 62 9 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 9 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 50 13 14 20 2 16 0
CDI 0 48 46 63 105 79 178 10
VCDI 0 9 42 106 166 631 8385 21643

Date: 2016-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 389 16 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 16 21 0 3 0 0
ODI 0 14 74 70 16 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 181 118 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 91 770 10443 19584
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 295 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 6 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 11 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 4 0 0 7 33 0
CDI 0 46 34 56 30 68 229 20
VCDI 0 21 49 114 258 829 10260 19564

Date: 2016-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 394 17 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 5 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 12 15 1 7 0 0
ODI 0 57 16 17 23 34 1 0
CDI 0 16 65 47 45 175 43 17
VCDI 0 0 4 108 229 1538 8459 20634
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 301 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 6 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 2 6 0 3 20 2
CDI 0 79 26 11 31 103 124 42
VCDI 0 52 67 170 267 1648 8359 20607


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