Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2016-04-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 64 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 67 335 2923 15286 27175
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 29 113 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 302 3312 16340 25721
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 10 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 58 136 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 120 383 2811 17946 24374
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 3 16 1 1 0
CDI 0 0 17 29 144 96 59 0
VCDI 0 0 14 184 780 6416 20000 18098
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 2 19 3 2 0
CDI 0 0 17 34 149 109 57 0
VCDI 0 0 14 180 772 6401 20001 18098

Date: 2016-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 48 6 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 123 55 44 29
VCDI 0 0 0 36 662 5234 15952 23640
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 50 12 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 134 84 49 34
VCDI 0 0 0 36 640 5199 15942 23635

Date: 2016-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 28 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 42 94 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 176 113 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 86 745 4363 16121 23959
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 6 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 21 56 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 175 125 98 7
VCDI 0 0 0 147 804 4341 16068 23952

Date: 2016-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 19 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 67 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 129 108 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 776 4502 18407 21724
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 57 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 115 190 63 0
VCDI 0 0 0 75 811 4414 18361 21724

Date: 2016-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 51 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 143 173 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 751 4327 18799 21476
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 35 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 105 49 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 56 807 4455 18788 21476


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