Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-03-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58905 22247 2613 1320 254 12 0 0
OW 51 210 306 339 435 68 2 0
VODI 0 124 215 388 439 241 17 0
ODI 0 68 126 297 418 479 21 0
CDI 0 23 89 476 399 1045 57 0
VCDI 0 97 120 445 1236 4762 8027 2729
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59610 21479 2316 1340 315 22 3 0
OW 52 182 330 308 419 86 11 0
VODI 0 120 209 409 382 254 29 0
ODI 0 48 94 269 356 412 27 0
CDI 0 20 107 295 475 950 46 0
VCDI 0 60 117 410 1349 3953 8610 3626
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59524 21893 2393 1343 146 0 0 0
OW 52 129 204 618 315 24 0 0
VODI 0 22 104 496 558 140 0 0
ODI 0 0 70 263 478 407 1 0
CDI 0 0 60 190 568 1056 243 0
VCDI 0 0 10 130 766 3627 9555 3715
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59338 22610 2395 913 190 0 0 0
OW 52 138 288 473 251 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 127 543 452 81 0 0
ODI 0 3 42 391 552 288 0 0
CDI 0 0 29 331 800 570 69 0
VCDI 0 0 11 247 1032 4052 8361 4436
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59338 22625 2440 929 201 0 0 0
OW 52 130 252 454 243 2 0 0
VODI 0 28 121 545 440 81 0 0
ODI 0 3 39 383 542 253 0 0
CDI 0 0 26 305 715 594 69 0
VCDI 0 0 14 282 1136 4061 8361 4436

Date: 2016-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60041 21720 2231 1202 384 7 0 0
OW 52 220 230 420 364 22 1 0
VODI 0 57 194 347 544 122 6 0
ODI 0 11 80 340 489 393 17 0
CDI 0 4 36 289 538 948 219 0
VCDI 0 0 35 322 925 4290 7623 4377
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60041 21746 2231 1259 453 9 0 0
OW 52 202 245 335 352 32 1 0
VODI 0 50 178 388 518 125 6 0
ODI 0 10 80 327 456 379 16 0
CDI 0 4 34 269 524 940 221 0
VCDI 0 0 38 342 941 4297 7622 4377

Date: 2016-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61155 21104 2225 1297 287 19 0 0
OW 51 192 285 557 331 20 0 0
VODI 0 31 184 462 544 95 0 0
ODI 0 18 50 261 613 409 0 0
CDI 0 10 38 243 470 1784 172 0
VCDI 0 1 46 271 1172 3349 8195 3159
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61155 20661 1853 1322 438 24 0 0
OW 51 335 297 314 365 53 0 0
VODI 0 209 257 272 489 233 0 0
ODI 0 71 120 279 316 524 0 0
CDI 0 15 109 249 416 1461 211 0
VCDI 0 65 192 655 1393 3381 8156 3159

Date: 2016-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60131 22072 2138 1209 312 37 0 0
OW 51 259 257 470 241 72 0 0
VODI 0 219 209 426 355 145 0 0
ODI 0 37 140 441 425 369 10 0
CDI 0 40 74 382 839 1030 129 0
VCDI 0 35 108 490 1201 3053 7948 3746
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60131 21629 1888 1159 400 58 0 0
OW 51 442 312 290 234 99 0 0
VODI 0 333 259 481 358 169 1 0
ODI 0 76 147 369 395 305 17 0
CDI 0 56 70 359 583 818 87 0
VCDI 0 126 250 760 1403 3257 7982 3746

Date: 2016-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64046 18673 1986 961 192 40 0 0
OW 51 166 351 449 228 66 8 0
VODI 0 180 155 507 345 186 24 0
ODI 0 22 95 298 475 374 46 0
CDI 0 14 95 310 630 1100 282 0
VCDI 0 48 120 283 1133 2356 8469 4336
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64046 18174 1824 853 278 92 12 0
OW 51 253 289 406 171 92 18 0
VODI 0 270 173 474 319 203 43 0
ODI 0 235 148 318 390 334 66 0
CDI 0 74 130 228 639 1096 356 0
VCDI 0 97 238 529 1206 2305 8334 4336


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 30. mai 17:00:51 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy