Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-03-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 193 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 5 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 7 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 64 5 3 2 5 8 0
CDI 0 185 75 19 13 108 182 0
VCDI 0 24 86 216 331 4171 13219 13005
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 188 5 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 67 9 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 8 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 10 0 0 12 8 0
CDI 0 68 13 6 11 62 141 16
VCDI 0 84 108 182 284 1413 12833 16429
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 321 25 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 50 28 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 45 12 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 35 45 2 9 4 0
CDI 0 0 15 52 33 87 94 20
VCDI 0 0 0 60 191 923 11329 18635
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 261 27 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 34 21 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 15 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 73 26 7 0 1 3 0
CDI 0 9 41 49 3 53 135 16
VCDI 0 0 19 97 187 1004 10093 19865
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 270 26 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 24 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 12 4 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 70 18 6 0 0 1 0
CDI 0 11 44 43 5 61 135 33
VCDI 0 0 25 101 185 997 10095 19848

Date: 2016-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 230 28 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 17 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 23 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 10 5 0 9 0 0
CDI 0 33 42 20 1 18 42 2
VCDI 0 0 31 104 149 427 7874 22871
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 242 29 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 17 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 23 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 8 4 0 17 0 0
CDI 0 32 40 17 0 10 55 3
VCDI 0 0 34 108 150 427 7861 22870

Date: 2016-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 331 54 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 33 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 52 11 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 36 53 14 10 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 82 51 73 78 4
VCDI 0 0 0 4 127 387 7289 23269
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 245 32 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 15 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 30 0 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 18 1 8 13 0 0
CDI 0 37 19 25 10 44 52 13
VCDI 0 6 64 124 173 413 7315 23260

Date: 2016-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 336 12 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 68 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 106 4 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 122 8 3 4 9 15 0
CDI 0 82 41 18 9 67 81 4
VCDI 0 20 86 179 309 1516 8104 20874
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 330 12 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 100 5 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 9 4 7 2 0 0
ODI 0 61 12 12 13 28 3 0
CDI 0 50 12 23 17 117 31 5
VCDI 0 101 105 162 285 1445 8166 20873

Date: 2016-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 347 23 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 87 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 7 2 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 87 6 6 29 11 0 0
CDI 0 98 11 18 84 145 38 19
VCDI 0 58 117 202 305 1947 8605 19728
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 254 12 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 12 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 113 1 5 17 1 0 0
CDI 0 82 9 11 93 69 49 91
VCDI 0 176 130 212 314 2033 8594 19656


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