Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-03-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61769 20641 2020 1188 365 33 0 0
OW 50 434 510 500 310 103 0 0
VODI 0 88 271 667 389 197 2 0
ODI 0 56 118 533 741 282 16 0
CDI 0 48 40 258 806 910 59 0
VCDI 0 0 7 80 552 5554 7033 2470
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62849 19390 2161 997 444 45 0 0
OW 50 575 500 400 271 105 0 0
VODI 0 176 290 711 383 239 12 0
ODI 0 105 136 652 446 399 28 0
CDI 0 50 49 223 669 1016 62 0
VCDI 0 0 4 87 419 5185 7074 2898
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60933 21248 2451 1226 377 24 0 0
OW 62 247 422 537 324 58 0 0
VODI 0 53 159 728 537 205 10 0
ODI 0 78 127 601 853 383 38 0
CDI 0 1 4 164 749 1075 67 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 525 4410 7867 2544
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59093 21648 2951 1392 396 2 0 0
OW 51 285 286 385 415 32 0 0
VODI 0 131 232 474 525 182 11 0
ODI 0 26 103 458 573 367 31 0
CDI 0 51 28 216 866 1124 35 0
VCDI 0 60 89 359 747 4725 8009 2742
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59093 21725 2994 1428 398 7 0 0
OW 51 230 245 365 418 31 0 0
VODI 0 107 226 539 545 177 7 0
ODI 0 34 114 361 646 365 32 0
CDI 0 55 22 312 996 1192 38 0
VCDI 0 50 88 279 519 4660 8009 2742

Date: 2016-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59572 21593 2347 1359 355 36 0 0
OW 52 196 306 312 387 115 0 0
VODI 0 115 210 397 356 300 12 0
ODI 0 59 109 255 328 477 30 0
CDI 0 8 95 394 393 1174 60 0
VCDI 0 112 122 370 1432 4455 8310 2897
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59573 21625 2414 1396 398 53 0 0
OW 51 182 270 338 366 105 0 0
VODI 0 105 189 351 352 311 9 0
ODI 0 50 114 300 368 489 32 0
CDI 0 8 87 318 506 1183 80 0
VCDI 0 113 115 384 1261 4416 8291 2897

Date: 2016-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59725 21858 2347 1187 185 9 0 0
OW 51 181 299 608 301 28 0 0
VODI 0 44 176 548 539 127 2 0
ODI 0 19 44 286 557 387 2 0
CDI 0 4 20 174 604 1456 85 0
VCDI 0 1 17 99 861 4073 8555 3641
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59724 21727 2129 1252 304 44 0 0
OW 52 180 255 365 344 102 4 0
VODI 0 110 181 401 389 249 22 0
ODI 0 27 107 275 389 397 22 0
CDI 0 7 109 217 501 1058 56 0
VCDI 0 56 122 392 1120 4230 8540 3641

Date: 2016-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59578 22101 2376 1088 160 0 0 0
OW 52 117 267 584 248 5 0 0
VODI 0 27 106 584 529 85 0 0
ODI 0 4 39 410 556 240 0 0
CDI 0 0 71 292 827 608 29 0
VCDI 0 0 20 153 1119 4283 8265 4277
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59578 21937 2204 1120 298 6 0 0
OW 52 184 263 479 323 71 0 0
VODI 0 79 184 403 456 206 0 0
ODI 0 28 84 385 470 319 13 0
CDI 0 17 37 408 717 808 91 0
VCDI 0 4 107 316 1175 3811 8190 4277

Date: 2016-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61062 21058 2126 1039 264 1 0 0
OW 52 165 277 440 287 29 0 0
VODI 0 41 174 402 507 94 0 0
ODI 0 7 62 358 580 318 6 0
CDI 0 3 24 263 748 715 68 0
VCDI 0 0 12 271 973 4218 8051 4405
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61062 20778 1876 813 333 0 0 0
OW 52 271 333 411 275 56 0 0
VODI 0 141 235 465 366 193 7 0
ODI 0 46 124 328 504 354 38 0
CDI 0 29 83 301 782 765 210 0
VCDI 0 9 24 455 1099 4007 7870 4405


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