Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-03-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 297 6 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 124 9 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 232 83 8 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 111 62 30 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 32 93 105 63 12 0
VCDI 0 0 16 92 239 1471 10119 18834
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 305 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 126 6 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 274 57 10 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 57 76 67 9 1 0 0
CDI 0 10 31 75 106 136 46 0
VCDI 0 0 19 107 311 1973 9002 19270
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 429 27 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 235 142 25 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 45 155 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 15 28 137 98 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 44 142 435 83 7
VCDI 0 0 0 50 381 3112 9102 17332
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 207 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 81 8 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 8 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 245 78 31 2 3 1 2
CDI 0 19 79 160 80 124 80 41
VCDI 0 0 0 83 299 4484 9911 15965
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 226 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 77 10 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 6 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 245 80 30 3 2 1 1
CDI 0 12 77 164 88 133 77 37
VCDI 0 0 0 80 290 4476 9914 15970

Date: 2016-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 190 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 68 4 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 9 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 7 0 0 13 15 0
CDI 0 114 22 3 16 99 174 1
VCDI 0 62 117 204 303 2845 13754 13927
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 212 10 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 11 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 49 6 0 0 10 14 0
CDI 0 93 18 3 23 105 198 5
VCDI 0 62 116 204 296 2842 13731 13923

Date: 2016-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 344 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 116 24 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 43 19 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 33 25 8 13 3 0
CDI 0 0 29 62 76 100 122 14
VCDI 0 0 3 67 182 953 11674 18121
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 205 5 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 10 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 11 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 13 1 16 7 2 0
CDI 0 58 10 8 15 81 158 17
VCDI 0 53 97 164 235 978 11639 18118

Date: 2016-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 286 31 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 21 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 17 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 39 31 0 0 1 0
CDI 0 1 31 55 18 39 96 23
VCDI 0 0 10 60 177 755 11298 18931
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 197 17 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 16 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 16 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 10 4 9 5 1 0
CDI 0 47 17 15 6 57 86 43
VCDI 0 40 73 131 180 732 11308 18911

Date: 2016-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 243 25 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 17 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 18 4 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 9 4 0 2 1 0
CDI 0 14 53 32 6 31 93 5
VCDI 0 0 13 97 158 579 10175 20367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 177 16 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 16 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 17 3 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 15 5 0 5 5 0
CDI 0 38 11 12 8 57 150 69
VCDI 0 30 60 117 156 550 10114 20303


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