Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-02-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 380 27 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 97 11 23 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 166 29 60 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 69 61 42 15 0 0
CDI 0 84 70 106 98 80 16 1
VCDI 0 52 77 226 506 1791 8812 19098
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 281 98 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 0 23 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 89 80 63 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 90 90 101 8 0 0
CDI 0 49 49 226 103 99 28 6
VCDI 0 28 96 272 518 1468 8333 19651
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 360 49 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 29 68 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 148 207 80 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 71 227 120 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 75 178 102 26 16
VCDI 0 0 0 37 307 803 9542 19490
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 378 21 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 0 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 8 114 60 0 0 0
ODI 0 52 89 114 131 3 0 0
CDI 0 44 24 101 128 116 23 16
VCDI 0 49 88 190 458 1025 9535 19154
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 377 21 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 0 33 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 4 100 106 0 0 0
ODI 0 81 58 94 121 3 0 0
CDI 0 30 51 95 116 125 24 16
VCDI 0 65 96 199 426 1016 9534 19154

Date: 2016-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 297 111 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 62 14 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 25 13 72 0 0 0
ODI 0 110 50 77 142 5 0 0
CDI 0 34 48 96 158 96 24 3
VCDI 0 97 124 285 433 1576 9108 18894
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 298 111 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 14 3 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 23 22 142 0 0 0
ODI 0 107 18 84 143 21 0 0
CDI 0 58 64 52 101 143 31 1
VCDI 0 103 142 312 410 1513 9101 18896

Date: 2016-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 676 89 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 233 91 78 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 24 194 113 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 9 127 275 9 0 0
CDI 0 10 25 76 206 231 28 4
VCDI 0 0 35 122 298 1773 8238 19072
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 398 19 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 85 13 4 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 162 8 65 110 0 0 0
ODI 0 105 16 100 165 18 0 0
CDI 0 70 51 82 135 127 17 0
VCDI 0 133 166 353 467 1868 8249 19076

Date: 2016-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 372 32 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 165 93 128 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 209 105 183 43 1 0 0
ODI 0 30 22 105 213 48 0 0
CDI 0 23 16 77 388 201 6 19
VCDI 0 11 69 140 406 1779 7919 19275
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 353 29 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 18 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 134 61 19 62 0 0 0
ODI 0 58 43 76 212 44 0 0
CDI 0 44 17 156 213 189 14 0
VCDI 0 162 169 379 563 1796 7911 19294

Date: 2016-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 323 15 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 101 13 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 167 104 71 25 2 0 0
ODI 0 103 66 223 126 67 0 0
CDI 0 5 42 88 277 252 1 12
VCDI 0 0 15 227 347 2003 8638 18762
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 325 25 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 8 10 51 6 0 0
ODI 0 137 29 11 108 84 0 0
CDI 0 71 69 69 186 319 2 0
VCDI 0 58 123 526 430 1915 8637 18774


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