Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-02-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60817 22210 2422 769 165 22 0 0
OW 51 331 296 418 152 42 0 0
VODI 0 268 201 460 223 79 1 0
ODI 0 127 174 298 382 68 19 0
CDI 0 17 214 304 867 399 40 0
VCDI 0 0 186 665 1453 4700 7033 3227
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54397 26134 4520 793 125 61 0 0
OW 52 226 305 472 174 52 11 0
VODI 0 157 154 501 291 65 38 0
ODI 0 62 122 280 385 120 38 0
CDI 0 49 99 263 625 607 68 0
VCDI 0 2 131 334 1348 5299 6789 3951
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56562 24957 3751 943 115 41 0 0
OW 51 217 333 588 131 42 1 0
VODI 0 100 207 445 345 61 16 0
ODI 0 5 102 254 364 107 28 0
CDI 0 0 61 228 547 445 155 0
VCDI 0 0 67 396 1091 5539 7084 3721
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57665 24775 2816 822 94 6 0 0
OW 51 216 426 686 124 14 0 0
VODI 0 125 245 491 417 52 0 0
ODI 0 15 128 250 484 129 8 0
CDI 0 10 55 289 534 428 88 0
VCDI 0 3 88 426 1478 4564 8030 3068
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57652 24825 2883 1014 117 4 0 0
OW 64 185 355 558 164 21 0 0
VODI 0 105 259 425 417 71 1 0
ODI 0 16 126 228 411 170 11 0
CDI 0 11 50 300 479 379 108 0
VCDI 0 2 85 439 1543 4548 8006 3068

Date: 2016-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54038 26755 3906 835 106 9 0 0
OW 51 243 429 575 132 40 0 0
VODI 0 78 366 559 406 72 2 0
ODI 0 44 124 357 539 179 22 0
CDI 0 32 54 332 579 729 162 0
VCDI 0 16 160 408 1410 4637 7693 3021
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54038 26827 3955 931 143 14 0 0
OW 51 160 404 549 160 38 0 0
VODI 0 95 355 478 414 118 4 0
ODI 0 42 118 340 467 221 33 0
CDI 0 31 45 350 509 660 143 0
VCDI 0 13 162 418 1479 4615 7699 3021

Date: 2016-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52908 28464 3966 828 54 6 0 0
OW 63 92 491 650 172 19 0 0
VODI 0 15 167 839 396 46 0 0
ODI 0 2 47 309 771 103 0 0
CDI 0 0 20 253 882 601 77 0
VCDI 0 0 54 182 1124 4831 7136 3532
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52920 28189 3482 799 105 14 0 0
OW 51 215 473 436 117 32 0 0
VODI 0 90 383 508 308 66 1 0
ODI 0 40 174 462 484 128 17 0
CDI 0 21 108 355 680 476 64 0
VCDI 0 18 125 501 1705 4890 7131 3532

Date: 2016-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55250 26132 3653 1081 261 67 2 0
OW 63 304 292 488 135 81 23 0
VODI 0 156 298 554 247 102 47 0
ODI 0 20 135 457 420 256 77 0
CDI 0 24 132 407 618 512 211 0
VCDI 0 27 118 538 1341 3705 7920 2946
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55262 25897 3292 915 197 86 28 0
OW 51 323 383 398 82 42 32 0
VODI 0 206 308 490 226 98 66 0
ODI 0 90 208 380 349 244 82 0
CDI 0 76 175 557 498 515 171 0
VCDI 0 71 262 785 1670 3738 7901 2946

Date: 2016-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58957 22956 3075 1178 213 13 0 0
OW 50 369 330 449 206 56 2 0
VODI 0 233 270 452 424 79 31 0
ODI 0 24 177 310 542 194 53 0
CDI 0 8 106 345 676 731 99 0
VCDI 0 28 122 489 1299 3679 7506 3369
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58956 22711 2826 1007 284 22 0 0
OW 51 432 362 366 132 41 5 0
VODI 0 240 289 465 423 178 36 0
ODI 0 108 188 283 506 371 54 0
CDI 0 68 183 368 531 849 44 0
VCDI 0 59 232 734 1484 3291 7552 3369


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh on. 30. mai 14:10:35 +0000 2018 on arcmfcval

 
See Met Privacy