Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-02-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 308 40 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 7 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 6 48 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 7 35 71 6 1 0
CDI 0 27 30 21 152 101 103 10
VCDI 0 0 148 281 570 2439 8245 19273
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 251 70 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 5 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 11 3 2 1 0 0
ODI 0 25 12 4 30 36 2 0
CDI 0 26 39 12 28 170 66 21
VCDI 0 0 71 200 299 1158 9999 19467
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 289 129 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 15 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 56 4 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 106 37 29 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 14 118 72 37 22 16
VCDI 0 0 0 123 279 1272 9011 20321
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 398 37 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 112 8 10 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 149 7 32 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 95 19 44 35 20 0 0
CDI 0 84 69 84 89 80 18 5
VCDI 0 51 83 225 549 1645 9002 19103
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 397 37 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 99 9 11 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 153 5 33 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 97 26 38 36 20 0 0
CDI 0 92 65 79 78 79 15 4
VCDI 0 51 81 233 556 1646 9005 19104

Date: 2016-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 367 27 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 71 3 23 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 106 110 28 2 0 0
ODI 0 42 28 136 78 8 0 0
CDI 0 49 40 198 123 86 17 19
VCDI 0 28 82 206 515 1796 8385 19402
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 352 27 13 1 0 0 0
OW 0 60 12 35 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 71 90 35 1 0 0
ODI 0 46 48 140 88 11 0 0
CDI 0 53 41 176 121 98 15 4
VCDI 0 22 87 221 497 1782 8387 19417

Date: 2016-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 433 36 19 1 0 0 0
OW 0 61 141 89 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 86 320 96 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 21 125 180 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 108 181 174 46 11
VCDI 0 0 0 24 267 858 8479 20251
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 323 20 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 3 28 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 52 64 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 70 127 120 70 3 0 0
CDI 0 36 34 189 121 97 31 6
VCDI 0 4 52 283 480 939 8494 20256

Date: 2016-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 288 109 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 2 23 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 96 109 58 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 68 182 103 17 0 0
CDI 0 60 62 138 112 117 21 16
VCDI 0 0 18 125 448 1127 9799 18797
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 262 109 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 4 5 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 24 62 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 72 90 78 65 9 0 0
CDI 0 35 58 164 115 108 19 9
VCDI 0 34 70 269 507 1144 9801 18804

Date: 2016-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 330 65 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 3 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 13 15 78 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 102 52 192 3 0 0
CDI 0 24 22 78 158 102 43 1
VCDI 0 49 83 253 353 1272 8408 20193
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 325 66 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 78 5 2 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 29 19 72 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 83 51 152 35 7 0
CDI 0 23 30 102 190 91 73 4
VCDI 0 27 75 226 354 1251 8371 20190


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