Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2016-02-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61518 21876 2096 975 223 30 0 0
OW 62 265 399 395 149 34 0 0
VODI 0 87 280 510 315 51 8 0
ODI 0 126 148 410 456 94 20 0
CDI 0 18 117 286 831 564 45 0
VCDI 0 0 36 244 1205 5477 6635 3115
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61155 21454 2722 922 193 58 4 0
OW 61 319 380 416 203 16 11 0
VODI 0 100 323 461 296 75 8 0
ODI 0 73 89 430 301 123 21 0
CDI 0 144 85 317 602 535 79 0
VCDI 0 18 128 355 1325 5610 6883 2805
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61409 21907 2708 905 143 53 34 0
OW 71 303 324 533 83 18 18 0
VODI 0 187 269 530 309 27 18 0
ODI 0 12 90 378 566 69 8 0
CDI 0 1 62 325 978 500 29 0
VCDI 0 0 7 235 1125 4357 7312 3197
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58990 23805 3088 612 133 8 0 0
OW 52 335 306 418 136 46 0 0
VODI 0 313 175 443 239 43 2 0
ODI 0 135 144 310 370 106 4 0
CDI 0 50 170 357 751 464 9 0
VCDI 0 3 182 749 1412 4848 6774 3118
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58991 23792 3108 654 157 7 0 0
OW 51 386 279 387 112 56 0 0
VODI 0 282 182 432 242 45 4 0
ODI 0 118 139 304 342 117 2 0
CDI 0 58 168 346 704 446 10 0
VCDI 0 5 189 766 1484 4844 6773 3118

Date: 2016-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57837 23733 3519 978 185 44 0 0
OW 51 244 289 456 163 50 1 0
VODI 0 167 181 515 220 77 14 0
ODI 0 102 162 315 357 107 28 0
CDI 0 42 172 294 739 519 58 0
VCDI 0 12 159 514 1527 4781 6666 3822
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57837 23649 3519 1024 191 45 0 0
OW 51 321 258 437 167 61 3 0
VODI 0 173 235 509 220 85 11 0
ODI 0 80 148 313 332 110 37 0
CDI 0 52 128 315 675 496 47 0
VCDI 0 25 194 474 1606 4781 6669 3822

Date: 2016-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55105 25756 4572 816 87 28 0 0
OW 51 120 387 662 113 30 2 0
VODI 0 46 193 616 377 55 12 0
ODI 0 11 48 310 563 86 23 0
CDI 0 0 39 156 699 613 106 0
VCDI 0 0 4 167 958 5578 6271 4440
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55104 25297 4298 883 141 52 0 0
OW 52 368 322 428 161 38 17 0
VODI 0 178 254 476 321 67 46 0
ODI 0 64 165 261 360 114 36 0
CDI 0 24 120 297 524 549 52 0
VCDI 0 2 84 382 1290 5570 6263 4440

Date: 2016-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55675 25971 3603 916 122 11 0 0
OW 51 249 396 625 148 17 0 0
VODI 0 112 202 459 376 70 0 0
ODI 0 22 120 226 401 155 7 0
CDI 0 7 49 256 537 364 124 0
VCDI 0 1 86 455 1286 4731 8019 3251
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55674 25508 3359 992 176 38 0 0
OW 52 383 403 436 158 54 0 0
VODI 0 209 297 420 333 94 5 0
ODI 0 118 108 283 317 126 14 0
CDI 0 74 88 314 483 304 50 0
VCDI 0 70 201 492 1403 4732 8081 3251

Date: 2016-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55520 25024 4440 837 92 33 0 0
OW 51 170 400 730 101 33 0 0
VODI 0 119 303 572 370 82 3 0
ODI 0 18 157 289 506 129 26 0
CDI 0 15 59 291 600 490 129 0
VCDI 0 8 110 407 1609 4590 7995 2792
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55520 24876 4135 1144 223 111 0 0
OW 51 237 454 473 244 63 1 0
VODI 0 103 306 437 393 152 19 0
ODI 0 35 171 284 270 174 26 0
CDI 0 71 151 308 502 287 92 0
VCDI 0 32 252 480 1646 4570 8015 2792


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