Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-02-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 292 41 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 39 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 80 26 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 127 140 22 19 0 0
CDI 0 0 13 211 112 85 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 64 294 1473 9935 18954
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 283 63 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 19 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 41 28 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 66 66 59 31 10 0 0
CDI 0 82 65 131 50 61 40 2
VCDI 0 0 65 255 485 1647 9206 19239
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 336 38 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 0 32 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 3 52 53 0 0 0
ODI 0 63 78 93 54 14 3 0
CDI 0 130 122 283 142 84 63 16
VCDI 0 0 0 53 456 2008 8018 19762
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 334 31 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 3 24 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 4 49 41 0 0 0
ODI 0 53 3 47 75 6 0 0
CDI 0 45 27 80 136 85 95 14
VCDI 0 49 166 275 568 2239 8069 19461
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 319 32 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 3 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 4 49 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 49 4 42 79 4 0 0
CDI 0 51 27 89 129 83 90 11
VCDI 0 46 164 281 589 2243 8074 19464

Date: 2016-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 286 46 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 4 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 3 5 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 3 5 80 19 2 0
CDI 0 46 12 5 102 122 124 12
VCDI 0 3 125 239 451 1627 9865 18744
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 278 45 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 5 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 4 6 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 3 4 65 10 3 0
CDI 0 42 10 7 108 119 116 9
VCDI 0 9 126 237 475 1639 9872 18747

Date: 2016-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 224 199 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 57 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 65 65 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 19 61 24 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 81 156 34 7
VCDI 0 0 0 9 178 1049 9320 20427
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 180 150 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 19 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 31 5 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 23 9 3 15 13 0
CDI 0 4 44 11 29 157 69 10
VCDI 0 0 73 190 251 1045 9272 20424

Date: 2016-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 322 123 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 72 9 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 10 17 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 67 46 26 29 8 0 0
CDI 0 74 44 62 107 50 20 13
VCDI 0 37 57 178 602 1761 8576 19618
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 230 119 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 5 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 8 8 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 63 5 22 31 3 0 0
CDI 0 84 6 33 73 49 14 5
VCDI 0 226 146 226 643 1767 8582 19626

Date: 2016-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 380 27 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 97 11 23 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 166 29 60 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 69 61 42 15 0 0
CDI 0 84 70 106 98 80 16 1
VCDI 0 52 77 226 506 1791 8812 19098
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 310 26 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 1 3 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 0 34 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 66 9 46 10 5 0 0
CDI 0 113 12 90 42 55 20 0
VCDI 0 237 235 308 613 1826 8808 19099


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