Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-01-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 243 50 5 1 0 0 0
OW 0 5 38 9 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 46 44 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 56 83 24 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 37 146 128 118 43 35
VCDI 0 0 0 3 105 708 11150 18986
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 275 41 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 29 1 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 79 11 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 25 49 72 8 12 3 0
CDI 0 3 74 133 99 162 78 20
VCDI 0 0 3 69 174 1300 9706 19599
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 362 64 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 167 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 78 162 20 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 77 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 159 203 47 8
VCDI 0 0 0 1 80 1607 11754 17102
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 300 37 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 12 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 88 31 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 43 151 137 17 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 153 111 94 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 240 1549 10623 18252
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 302 41 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 8 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 82 46 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 151 123 18 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 147 114 94 59 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 236 1551 10621 18252

Date: 2016-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 303 39 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 33 29 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 61 26 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 74 72 29 12 2 0
CDI 0 12 63 240 67 55 58 0
VCDI 0 0 0 158 408 1496 9991 18765
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 322 43 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 28 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 63 24 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 56 83 74 25 8 2 0
CDI 0 4 49 240 72 57 69 0
VCDI 0 0 0 162 410 1498 9980 18765

Date: 2016-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 363 34 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 23 25 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 189 190 166 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 46 175 106 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 86 155 110 26 13
VCDI 0 0 0 21 329 1321 9124 19489
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 296 31 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 3 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 23 22 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 75 67 21 25 6 0 0
CDI 0 100 29 80 45 58 25 16
VCDI 0 21 140 350 553 1374 9125 19486

Date: 2016-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 351 27 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 1 41 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 1 49 62 0 0 0
ODI 0 75 4 51 68 11 0 0
CDI 0 184 43 88 96 111 29 12
VCDI 0 88 156 243 570 2679 7404 19519
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 296 24 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 2 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 1 32 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 1 31 39 24 0 0
CDI 0 38 8 59 85 66 12 7
VCDI 0 358 196 345 657 2711 7421 19524

Date: 2016-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 308 40 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 7 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 6 48 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 7 35 71 6 1 0
CDI 0 27 30 21 152 101 103 10
VCDI 0 0 148 281 570 2439 8245 19273
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 273 30 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 33 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 8 25 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 6 38 35 22 0 0
CDI 0 28 6 41 121 69 72 14
VCDI 0 57 181 289 650 2455 8277 19269


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