Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2016-01-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2016-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 343 98 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 133 97 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 133 479 113 12 0 0
ODI 0 32 87 203 331 78 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 518 606 102 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 3252 8494 16649
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 300 41 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 70 29 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 115 119 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 74 245 167 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 27 163 362 112 51 13
VCDI 0 0 0 37 212 2615 8210 18959
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 264 79 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 50 25 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 70 86 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 20 173 45 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 353 183 33 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 153 2206 12525 15672
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2016-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 230 62 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 34 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 55 60 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 59 106 36 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 15 75 127 136 77 21
VCDI 0 0 0 46 173 2009 12006 16706
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 230 61 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 2 38 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 60 70 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 60 99 43 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 87 128 130 73 21
VCDI 0 0 0 31 164 2018 12010 16706

Date: 2016-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 274 29 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 27 7 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 64 22 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 63 58 17 41 0 0
CDI 0 10 63 102 140 157 17 0
VCDI 0 0 5 95 242 1925 9501 19095
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 265 29 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 33 20 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 78 25 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 35 71 59 14 30 0 0
CDI 0 9 51 108 117 155 16 0
VCDI 0 0 2 85 268 1938 9502 19095

Date: 2016-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 305 91 7 7 0 0 0
OW 0 25 112 29 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 62 163 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 88 88 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 158 197 17 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 122 1312 9016 20189
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 271 25 0 6 0 0 0
OW 0 20 48 4 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 89 34 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 78 87 16 8 0 0
CDI 0 4 27 143 98 108 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 65 261 1407 9017 20189

Date: 2016-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 247 84 2 2 1 0 0
OW 0 31 36 10 3 2 0 0
VODI 0 35 69 29 1 8 0 0
ODI 0 33 111 132 24 9 2 0
CDI 0 0 2 107 148 68 34 3
VCDI 0 0 0 6 180 1390 9749 19524
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 219 76 0 1 0 0 0
OW 0 42 19 3 3 3 0 0
VODI 0 34 53 16 4 6 0 0
ODI 0 33 77 57 33 25 5 0
CDI 0 18 68 106 66 81 68 30
VCDI 0 0 9 104 251 1363 9712 19497

Date: 2016-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 243 50 5 1 0 0 0
OW 0 5 38 9 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 46 44 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 56 83 24 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 37 146 128 118 43 35
VCDI 0 0 0 3 105 708 11150 18986
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 230 39 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 14 45 12 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 78 65 10 6 0 0
ODI 0 2 43 107 38 30 11 0
CDI 0 0 22 84 99 76 189 20
VCDI 0 0 0 18 121 715 10993 19001


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